Sylvamo Corp (SLVM)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 47.87% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of February 3, 2026 was $47.86 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $6.39 (15.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 50.44% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of February 3, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SLVM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 15, 2024
End date: November 20, 2025
a = 6.3972
b = -0.0018
s = 0.0863
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0018) – 1
= -47.87%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0863) – 1
= 41.25%
August 15, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y727)
= Exp(a + b × X727 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,057 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3972 + -0.0018 × 1,057 + 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(4.6834)
= $108.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y727)
= Exp(a + b × X727 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,057 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3972 + -0.0018 × 1,057 – 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(4.3380)
= $76.56
November 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,045)
= Exp(a + b × X1,045 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,519 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3972 + -0.0018 × 1,519 + 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(3.8588)
= $47.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,045)
= Exp(a + b × X1,045 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,519 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3972 + -0.0018 × 1,519 – 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(3.5135)
= $33.56
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 47.87% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of February 3, 2026 was $47.86 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $6.39 (15.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 8, 2025
End date: February 3, 2026
a = 2.1292
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0465
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 50.44%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0465) – 1
= 20.43%
August 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y972)
= Exp(a + b × X972 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,415 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1292 + 0.0011 × 1,415 + 2 × 0.0465)
= Exp(3.8055)
= $44.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y972)
= Exp(a + b × X972 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,415 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1292 + 0.0011 × 1,415 – 2 × 0.0465)
= Exp(3.6196)
= $37.32
February 3, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,094)
= Exp(a + b × X1,094 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,594 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1292 + 0.0011 × 1,594 + 2 × 0.0465)
= Exp(4.0058)
= $54.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,094)
= Exp(a + b × X1,094 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,594 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1292 + 0.0011 × 1,594 – 2 × 0.0465)
= Exp(3.8199)
= $45.60
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 50.44% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of February 3, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.