Sylvamo Corp (SLVM)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 52.92% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of January 2, 2026 was $47.78 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $8.20 (20.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 42.83% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of January 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SLVM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 18, 2024
End date: November 10, 2025
a = 6.7811
b = -0.0021
s = 0.0603
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0021) – 1
= -52.92%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0603) – 1
= 27.30%
September 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y750)
= Exp(a + b × X750 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,091 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7811 + -0.0021 × 1,091 + 2 × 0.0603)
= Exp(4.6503)
= $104.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y750)
= Exp(a + b × X750 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,091 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7811 + -0.0021 × 1,091 – 2 × 0.0603)
= Exp(4.4089)
= $82.18
November 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,037)
= Exp(a + b × X1,037 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,509 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7811 + -0.0021 × 1,509 + 2 × 0.0603)
= Exp(3.7877)
= $44.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,037)
= Exp(a + b × X1,037 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,509 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.7811 + -0.0021 × 1,509 – 2 × 0.0603)
= Exp(3.5463)
= $34.69
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 52.92% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of January 2, 2026 was $47.78 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $8.20 (20.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 8, 2025
End date: January 2, 2026
a = 2.3474
b = 0.0010
s = 0.0480
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 42.83%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0480) – 1
= 21.16%
August 8, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y972)
= Exp(a + b × X972 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,415 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3474 + 0.0010 × 1,415 + 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(3.8253)
= $45.85
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y972)
= Exp(a + b × X972 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,415 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3474 + 0.0010 × 1,415 – 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(3.6334)
= $37.84
January 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,073)
= Exp(a + b × X1,073 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,562 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3474 + 0.0010 × 1,562 + 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(3.9689)
= $52.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,073)
= Exp(a + b × X1,073 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,562 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3474 + 0.0010 × 1,562 – 2 × 0.0480)
= Exp(3.7769)
= $43.68
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 42.83% per annum.
- SLVM price at the close of January 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.