Trade Desk Inc (TTD)
Trade Desk, Inc. is a leading technology company specializing in digital advertising and programmatic marketing solutions, headquartered in Ventura, California. With a robust platform that enables advertisers to optimize their campaigns across various channels and devices, Trade Desk is at the forefront of the rapidly evolving ad tech landscape. The company's innovative tools leverage data-driven insights to enhance targeting and advertising effectiveness, catering to a global clientele of marketers and agencies. As the digital advertising sector continues to expand, Trade Desk's strategic focus on technology and analytics positions it well for future growth and market leadership.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 63.83% per annum.
- TTD price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $25.17 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.68% per annum.
- TTD price at the close of March 4, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.06 (0.23%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TTD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 13, 2024
End date: March 4, 2026
a = 8.5135
b = -0.0028
s = 0.2053
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0028) – 1
= -63.83%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.2053) – 1
= 127.31%
September 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y887)
= Exp(a + b × X887 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,288 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5135 + -0.0028 × 1,288 + 2 × 0.2053)
= Exp(5.3353)
= $207.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y887)
= Exp(a + b × X887 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,288 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5135 + -0.0028 × 1,288 – 2 × 0.2053)
= Exp(4.5141)
= $91.30
March 4, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5135 + -0.0028 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.2053)
= Exp(3.8390)
= $46.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5135 + -0.0028 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.2053)
= Exp(3.0179)
= $20.45
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 63.83% per annum.
- TTD price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $25.17 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 2, 2026
End date: March 4, 2026
a = 20.1456
b = -0.0093
s = 0.0491
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0093) – 1
= -96.68%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0491) – 1
= 21.69%
January 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 + 2 × s)
= Exp(20.1456 + -0.0093 × 1,764 + 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(3.7923)
= $44.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,213)
= Exp(a + b × X1,213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 – 2 × s)
= Exp(20.1456 + -0.0093 × 1,764 – 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(3.5959)
= $36.45
March 4, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(20.1456 + -0.0093 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(3.2234)
= $25.11
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(20.1456 + -0.0093 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0491)
= Exp(3.0270)
= $20.64
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.68% per annum.
- TTD price at the close of March 4, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.06 (0.23%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.