Stock Price Trends

Evercore Partners Inc (EVR)

Evercore Inc., is an independent investment banking advisory firm in the United States, Europe, Latin America and internationally. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 61.87% per annum.
  • EVR price at the close of July 3, 2025 was $287.50 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.62 (0.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 16.68% per annum.
  • EVR price at the close of July 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EVR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 10, 2022
End date: February 19, 2025

a = 3.4372

b = 0.0013

s = 0.0890

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 61.87%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0890) – 1
= 42.79%

June 10, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y487)
= Exp(a + b × X487 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 703 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4372 + 0.0013 × 703 + 2 × 0.0890)
= Exp(4.5430)
= $93.97

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y487)
= Exp(a + b × X487 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 703 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4372 + 0.0013 × 703 – 2 × 0.0890)
= Exp(4.1868)
= $65.81

February 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,161)
= Exp(a + b × X1,161 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4372 + 0.0013 × 1,688 + 2 × 0.0890)
= Exp(5.8428)
= $344.73

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,161)
= Exp(a + b × X1,161 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4372 + 0.0013 × 1,688 – 2 × 0.0890)
= Exp(5.4866)
= $241.43

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 61.87% per annum.
  • EVR price at the close of July 3, 2025 was $287.50 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.62 (0.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 15, 2024
End date: June 23, 2025

a = 6.3173

b = -0.0005

s = 0.1342

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -16.68%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1342) – 1
= 71.07%

July 15, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,011)
= Exp(a + b × X1,011 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,469 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3173 + -0.0005 × 1,469 + 2 × 0.1342)
= Exp(5.8515)
= $347.77

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,011)
= Exp(a + b × X1,011 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,469 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3173 + -0.0005 × 1,469 – 2 × 0.1342)
= Exp(5.3146)
= $203.29

June 23, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3173 + -0.0005 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.1342)
= Exp(5.6801)
= $292.98

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3173 + -0.0005 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.1342)
= Exp(5.1432)
= $171.26

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 16.68% per annum.
  • EVR price at the close of July 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.