Stock Price Trends

PJT Partners Inc. (PJT)

pjt partners (nyse:pjt) is a leading independent investment bank. for every challenge, from the straightforward to the complex, our team of veteran practitioners brings together proven experience and fresh thinking to drive the highest-quality outcomes. across our three divisions, pjt partners delivers a comprehensive range of advisory and capital raising solutions to achieve our clients’ strategic objectives. strategic advisory: we consistently deliver innovative solutions to highly complex challenges across m&a, spin-offs, private placements, structured products and other transactions. restructuring & special situations: we are a leading advisor to companies and creditors in restructurings and bankruptcies around the world. with vast expertise in highly complex capital structure challenges, our services include debtor advisory, creditor advisory, out-of-court solutions, distressed mergers & acquisitions and expert witness testimony. park hill: our team provides global alternative ass

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

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Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.02% per annum.
  • PJT price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $103.26 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $17.17 (19.94%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 72.53% per annum.
  • PJT price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PJT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

October 7, 2020 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

November 1, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 1.02% per annum.
  • PJT price at the close of February 16, 2024 was $103.26 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $17.17 (19.94%).

Secondary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

April 27, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

February 16, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 72.53% per annum.
  • PJT price at the close of February 16, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.