Meta Platforms Inc. (META)
Meta Platforms, Inc. develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, PCs, virtual reality headsets, wearables and home devices around the world. The company is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 145.82% per annum.
- META price at the close of October 3, 2024 was $582.77 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.60% per annum.
- META price at the close of October 3, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $21.74 (3.87%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of META price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 14, 2022
End date: July 12, 2024
a = 2.1136
b = 0.0025
s = 0.1325
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0025) – 1
= 145.82%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1325) – 1
= 69.90%
September 14, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y741)
= Exp(a + b × X741 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,076 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1136 + 0.0025 × 1,076 + 2 × 0.1325)
= Exp(5.0300)
= $152.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y741)
= Exp(a + b × X741 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,076 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1136 + 0.0025 × 1,076 – 2 × 0.1325)
= Exp(4.5000)
= $90.01
July 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,743 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1136 + 0.0025 × 1,743 + 2 × 0.1325)
= Exp(6.6736)
= $791.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,743 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1136 + 0.0025 × 1,743 – 2 × 0.1325)
= Exp(6.1436)
= $465.70
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 145.82% per annum.
- META price at the close of October 3, 2024 was $582.77 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 2, 2024
End date: September 18, 2024
a = 5.6475
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0444
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 12.60%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0444) – 1
= 19.43%
February 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6475 + 0.0003 × 1,582 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(6.2505)
= $518.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6475 + 0.0003 × 1,582 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(6.0729)
= $433.95
September 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6475 + 0.0003 × 1,811 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(6.3249)
= $558.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6475 + 0.0003 × 1,811 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(6.1474)
= $467.48
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 12.60% per annum.
- META price at the close of October 3, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $21.74 (3.87%).