Stock Price Trends

Meta Platforms Inc. (META) 

Meta Platforms, Inc. is a leading technology company based in Menlo Park, California, focused on building products and services that facilitate global connectivity and social interaction. Renowned for its social media platforms, including Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, Meta is also heavily investing in virtual and augmented reality technologies through its Reality Labs division, positioning itself at the forefront of the metaverse. As it innovates in both consumer engagement and immersive experiences, Meta continues to attract a vast user base, driving advertising revenue and expanding its influence within the digital economy.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.12% per annum.
  • META price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $705.30 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $116.49 (14.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 34.69% per annum.
  • META price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of META price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: March 7, 2025

a = 3.6793

b = 0.0018

s = 0.1668

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 96.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1668) – 1
= 94.91%

June 13, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y420)
= Exp(a + b × X420 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 609 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6793 + 0.0018 × 609 + 2 × 0.1668)
= Exp(5.1368)
= $170.17

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y420)
= Exp(a + b × X420 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 609 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6793 + 0.0018 × 609 – 2 × 0.1668)
= Exp(4.4694)
= $87.31

March 7, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,105)
= Exp(a + b × X1,105 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,607 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6793 + 0.0018 × 1,607 + 2 × 0.1668)
= Exp(6.9784)
= $1,073.21

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,105)
= Exp(a + b × X1,105 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,607 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6793 + 0.0018 × 1,607 – 2 × 0.1668)
= Exp(6.3111)
= $550.63

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.12% per annum.
  • META price at the close of October 10, 2025 was $705.30 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $116.49 (14.18%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 2, 2024
End date: October 10, 2025

a = 5.1277

b = 0.0008

s = 0.0722

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 34.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0722) – 1
= 33.50%

February 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y832)
= Exp(a + b × X832 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,208 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1277 + 0.0008 × 1,208 + 2 × 0.0722)
= Exp(6.2579)
= $522.14

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y832)
= Exp(a + b × X832 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,208 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1277 + 0.0008 × 1,208 – 2 × 0.0722)
= Exp(5.9690)
= $391.12

October 10, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1277 + 0.0008 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0722)
= Exp(6.7606)
= $863.16

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1277 + 0.0008 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0722)
= Exp(6.4717)
= $646.56

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 34.69% per annum.
  • META price at the close of October 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.