TripAdvisor Inc (TRIP)
TripAdvisor, Inc. is a leading online travel platform based in Needham, Massachusetts, that empowers users to make informed travel decisions through a wealth of user-generated content and reviews. With a robust ecosystem including hotel bookings, restaurant recommendations, and activities, TripAdvisor serves millions of travelers worldwide, fostering strong engagement through its comprehensive travel guidance. The company's innovative approach to leveraging data and enhancing the user experience positions it favorably within the competitive online travel industry, making it a vital resource for consumers and a compelling entity for institutional investors.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 13.74% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $15.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 101.90% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TRIP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 7, 2024
End date: October 17, 2025
a = 2.1442
b = 0.0004
s = 0.1083
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 13.74%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1083) – 1
= 54.20%
August 7, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y955)
= Exp(a + b × X955 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,388 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1442 + 0.0004 × 1,388 + 2 × 0.1083)
= Exp(2.8503)
= $17.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y955)
= Exp(a + b × X955 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,388 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1442 + 0.0004 × 1,388 – 2 × 0.1083)
= Exp(2.4172)
= $11.21
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1442 + 0.0004 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1083)
= Exp(3.0040)
= $20.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1442 + 0.0004 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1083)
= Exp(2.5710)
= $13.08
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 13.74% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $15.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025
a = -0.5955
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0968
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 101.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0968) – 1
= 47.29%
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,119)
= Exp(a + b × X1,119 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,627 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5955 + 0.0019 × 1,627 + 2 × 0.0968)
= Exp(2.7299)
= $15.33
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,119)
= Exp(a + b × X1,119 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,627 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5955 + 0.0019 × 1,627 – 2 × 0.0968)
= Exp(2.3427)
= $10.41
October 17, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5955 + 0.0019 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0968)
= Exp(3.1091)
= $22.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5955 + 0.0019 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0968)
= Exp(2.7219)
= $15.21
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 101.90% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.