Tesla Inc (TSLA)
Tesla, Inc. is a leading American electric vehicle and clean energy company headquartered in Palo Alto, California. With a diverse product portfolio that includes electric cars, battery energy storage solutions, and solar energy products, Tesla is at the forefront of sustainable transportation and energy innovation. In 2020, Tesla captured a significant share of the global market, achieving a 16% share in the plug-in vehicle segment and 23% in the battery-electric vehicle segment, solidifying its position as the largest seller of electric vehicles. Additionally, through its subsidiary Tesla Energy, the company is a key player in the solar and battery storage market, making substantial contributions to the renewable energy landscape. As it continues to scale production and expand its product offerings, Tesla remains poised for long-term growth and leadership in the transition to a more sustainable future.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 59.69% per annum.
- TSLA price at the close of March 24, 2026 was $383.03 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 54.42% per annum.
- TSLA price at the close of March 24, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TSLA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 18, 2024
End date: March 11, 2026
a = 3.8482
b = 0.0013
s = 0.1680
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 59.69%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1680) – 1
= 95.85%
January 18, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y708)
= Exp(a + b × X708 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,029 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8482 + 0.0013 × 1,029 + 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(5.5040)
= $245.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y708)
= Exp(a + b × X708 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,029 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8482 + 0.0013 × 1,029 – 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(4.8318)
= $125.43
March 11, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8482 + 0.0013 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(6.5081)
= $670.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8482 + 0.0013 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.1680)
= Exp(5.8359)
= $342.38
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 59.69% per annum.
- TSLA price at the close of March 24, 2026 was $383.03 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 12, 2025
End date: March 24, 2026
a = 9.8753
b = -0.0022
s = 0.0239
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0022) – 1
= -54.42%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0239) – 1
= 10.04%
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,186)
= Exp(a + b × X1,186 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,723 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8753 + -0.0022 × 1,723 + 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(6.2137)
= $499.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,186)
= Exp(a + b × X1,186 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,723 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8753 + -0.0022 × 1,723 – 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(6.1181)
= $454.00
March 24, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8753 + -0.0022 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(5.9941)
= $401.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.8753 + -0.0022 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0239)
= Exp(5.8985)
= $364.49
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 54.42% per annum.
- TSLA price at the close of March 24, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.