Winnebago Industries Inc (WGO)
Winnebago Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells recreational vehicles and marine products primarily for use in leisure travel and outdoor recreational activities. The company is headquartered in Forest City, Iowa.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 39.49% per annum.
- WGO price at the close of June 27, 2025 was $29.27 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 65.26% per annum.
- WGO price at the close of June 27, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WGO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 6, 2023
End date: June 27, 2025
a = 6.0461
b = -0.0014
s = 0.1085
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -39.49%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1085) – 1
= 54.36%
December 6, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y865)
= Exp(a + b × X865 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0461 + -0.0014 × 1,254 + 2 × 0.1085)
= Exp(4.5371)
= $93.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y865)
= Exp(a + b × X865 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0461 + -0.0014 × 1,254 – 2 × 0.1085)
= Exp(4.1029)
= $60.52
June 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0461 + -0.0014 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1085)
= Exp(3.7539)
= $42.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0461 + -0.0014 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1085)
= Exp(3.3197)
= $27.65
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 39.49% per annum.
- WGO price at the close of June 27, 2025 was $29.27 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 11, 2024
End date: June 27, 2025
a = 8.6332
b = -0.0029
s = 0.0804
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0029) – 1
= -65.26%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0804) – 1
= 37.92%
October 11, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,078)
= Exp(a + b × X1,078 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,564 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.6332 + -0.0029 × 1,564 + 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(4.2636)
= $71.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,078)
= Exp(a + b × X1,078 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,564 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.6332 + -0.0029 × 1,564 – 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(3.9421)
= $51.53
June 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.6332 + -0.0029 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(3.5134)
= $33.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.6332 + -0.0029 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(3.1919)
= $24.34
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 65.26% per annum.
- WGO price at the close of June 27, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.