Stock Price Trends

Winnebago Industries Inc (WGO)

Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) is a leading manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs) and marine products, specializing in premium solutions that enhance leisure travel and outdoor experiences. Headquartered in Forest City, Iowa, the company has a strong commitment to innovation and quality, positioning itself as a trusted brand in the outdoor recreation market. Winnebago's diverse product portfolio, which includes motorhomes, travel trailers, and boats, appeals to a broad customer base seeking adventure and freedom in their lifestyles. With a robust distribution network and a focus on sustainability, Winnebago is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for recreational products.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 97.89% per annum.
  • WGO price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $33.41 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 86.72% per annum.
  • WGO price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WGO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 4, 2026
End date: March 20, 2026

a = 22.7673

b = -0.0106

s = 0.0332

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0106) – 1
= -97.89%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0332) – 1
= 14.22%

February 4, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,224)
= Exp(a + b × X1,224 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,780 + 2 × s)
= Exp(22.7673 + -0.0106 × 1,780 + 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(4.0080)
= $55.04

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,224)
= Exp(a + b × X1,224 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,780 – 2 × s)
= Exp(22.7673 + -0.0106 × 1,780 – 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(3.8751)
= $48.19

March 20, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(22.7673 + -0.0106 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(3.5427)
= $34.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(22.7673 + -0.0106 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0332)
= Exp(3.4097)
= $30.26

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 97.89% per annum.
  • WGO price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $33.41 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 6, 2026
End date: March 20, 2026

a = 13.5822

b = -0.0055

s = 0.0162

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0055) – 1
= -86.72%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0162) – 1
= 6.68%

March 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5822 + -0.0055 × 1,810 + 2 × 0.0162)
= Exp(3.6013)
= $36.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,810 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5822 + -0.0055 × 1,810 – 2 × 0.0162)
= Exp(3.5367)
= $34.35

March 20, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5822 + -0.0055 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0162)
= Exp(3.5239)
= $33.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5822 + -0.0055 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0162)
= Exp(3.4592)
= $31.79

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 86.72% per annum.
  • WGO price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.