Ford Motor Company (F)
Ford Motor Company, commonly known as Ford, is an American multinational automaker that has its main headquarters in Dearborn, Michigan.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 63.01% per annum.
- F price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $13.56 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 29.50% per annum.
- F price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of F price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 6, 2025
End date: January 23, 2026
a = 0.1981
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0325
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 63.01%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0325) – 1
= 13.88%
February 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,014)
= Exp(a + b × X1,014 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,473 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.1981 + 0.0013 × 1,473 + 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(2.2349)
= $9.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,014)
= Exp(a + b × X1,014 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,473 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.1981 + 0.0013 × 1,473 – 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(2.1049)
= $8.21
January 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.1981 + 0.0013 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(2.7048)
= $14.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.1981 + 0.0013 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0325)
= Exp(2.5748)
= $13.13
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 63.01% per annum.
- F price at the close of January 23, 2026 was $13.56 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 24, 2025
End date: January 23, 2026
a = 1.3293
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0208
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 29.50%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0208) – 1
= 8.69%
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,194)
= Exp(a + b × X1,194 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3293 + 0.0007 × 1,733 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(2.5985)
= $13.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,194)
= Exp(a + b × X1,194 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3293 + 0.0007 × 1,733 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(2.5152)
= $12.37
January 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3293 + 0.0007 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(2.6630)
= $14.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3293 + 0.0007 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0208)
= Exp(2.5796)
= $13.19
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 29.50% per annum.
- F price at the close of January 23, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.