Ford Motor Company (F)
Ford Motor Company, commonly known as Ford, is an American multinational automaker that has its main headquarters in Dearborn, Michigan.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.20% per annum.
- F price at the close of March 9, 2026 was $12.19 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.44 (10.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 25.44% per annum.
- F price at the close of March 9, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.09 (8.19%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of F price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 3, 2025
End date: February 27, 2026
a = 0.3216
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0326
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 60.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0326) – 1
= 13.94%
February 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y980)
= Exp(a + b × X980 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,426 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3216 + 0.0013 × 1,426 + 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.2280)
= $9.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y980)
= Exp(a + b × X980 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,426 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3216 + 0.0013 × 1,426 – 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.0975)
= $8.15
February 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,815 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3216 + 0.0013 × 1,815 + 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.7303)
= $15.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,815 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3216 + 0.0013 × 1,815 – 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.5997)
= $13.46
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.20% per annum.
- F price at the close of March 9, 2026 was $12.19 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.44 (10.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 24, 2025
End date: March 4, 2026
a = 1.5011
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0241
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 25.44%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0241) – 1
= 10.13%
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5011 + 0.0006 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(2.5981)
= $13.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5011 + 0.0006 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(2.5016)
= $12.20
March 4, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5011 + 0.0006 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(2.6794)
= $14.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5011 + 0.0006 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0241)
= Exp(2.5829)
= $13.24
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 25.44% per annum.
- F price at the close of March 9, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.09 (8.19%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.