Stock Price Trends

Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) 

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is a leading American semiconductor company headquartered in Santa Clara, California, specializing in the development of innovative computer processors and related technologies. With a diverse product portfolio that includes microprocessors, graphics processors, and motherboard chipsets, AMD serves a wide range of markets, including data centers, enterprise solutions, and consumer electronics. The company's strong focus on high-performance computing and graphics positions it as a key player in the growing semiconductor industry, driving advancements in technology and meeting the evolving needs of businesses and consumers alike.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 710.60% per annum.
  • AMD price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $256.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.85 (0.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 328.73% per annum.
  • AMD price at the close of October 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: August 18, 2025

a = -4.8157

b = 0.0057

s = 0.0444

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0057) – 1
= 710.60%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0444) – 1
= 19.42%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,109)
= Exp(a + b × X1,109 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,613 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.8157 + 0.0057 × 1,613 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(4.5206)
= $91.89

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,109)
= Exp(a + b × X1,109 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,613 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.8157 + 0.0057 × 1,613 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(4.3432)
= $76.95

August 18, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,202)
= Exp(a + b × X1,202 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,750 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.8157 + 0.0057 × 1,750 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(5.3060)
= $201.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,202)
= Exp(a + b × X1,202 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,750 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.8157 + 0.0057 × 1,750 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(5.1286)
= $168.78

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 710.60% per annum.
  • AMD price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $256.12 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.85 (0.72%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: October 7, 2025

a = -1.9085

b = 0.0040

s = 0.0925

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0040) – 1
= 328.73%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0925) – 1
= 44.76%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,109)
= Exp(a + b × X1,109 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,613 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9085 + 0.0040 × 1,613 + 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(4.7093)
= $110.97

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,109)
= Exp(a + b × X1,109 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,613 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9085 + 0.0040 × 1,613 – 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(4.3394)
= $76.66

October 7, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9085 + 0.0040 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(5.4551)
= $233.94

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9085 + 0.0040 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0925)
= Exp(5.0852)
= $161.61

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 328.73% per annum.
  • AMD price at the close of October 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.