NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI)
NXP Semiconductors N.V. is a leading global semiconductor manufacturer headquartered in Eindhoven, Netherlands, specializing in secure connectivity solutions for various applications across automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. The company is at the forefront of innovation in the Internet of Things (IoT), automotive safety, and secure payment technologies, capitalizing on the increasing demand for connected devices and smart solutions. With a robust portfolio of products including embedded processors, microcontrollers, and RF amplifiers, NXP is positioned to drive advancements in next-generation technologies. Its commitment to sustainability and operational excellence further enhances its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.13% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 26, 2026 was $196.92 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.87 (5.28%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 8.70% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 26, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NXPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 9, 2024
End date: June 9, 2025
a = 6.2019
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0762
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.13%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0762) – 1
= 35.63%
February 9, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y722)
= Exp(a + b × X722 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,047 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2019 + -0.0006 × 1,047 + 2 × 0.0762)
= Exp(5.7094)
= $301.68
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y722)
= Exp(a + b × X722 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,047 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2019 + -0.0006 × 1,047 – 2 × 0.0762)
= Exp(5.4046)
= $222.43
June 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,054)
= Exp(a + b × X1,054 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,533 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2019 + -0.0006 × 1,533 + 2 × 0.0762)
= Exp(5.4100)
= $223.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,054)
= Exp(a + b × X1,054 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,533 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2019 + -0.0006 × 1,533 – 2 × 0.0762)
= Exp(5.1053)
= $164.89
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.13% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 26, 2026 was $196.92 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $9.87 (5.28%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 11, 2024
End date: March 5, 2026
a = 4.9979
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0768
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 8.70%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0768) – 1
= 35.96%
November 11, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y912)
= Exp(a + b × X912 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,323 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9979 + 0.0002 × 1,323 + 2 × 0.0768)
= Exp(5.4538)
= $233.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y912)
= Exp(a + b × X912 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,323 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9979 + 0.0002 × 1,323 – 2 × 0.0768)
= Exp(5.1466)
= $171.84
March 5, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9979 + 0.0002 × 1,802 + 2 × 0.0768)
= Exp(5.5632)
= $260.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9979 + 0.0002 × 1,802 – 2 × 0.0768)
= Exp(5.2560)
= $191.72
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 8.70% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 26, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.