NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI)
NXP Semiconductors N.V. is a Dutch semiconductor manufacturer with headquarters in Eindhoven, Netherlands.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.23% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $196.24 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 88.28% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $22.00 (12.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NXPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 6, 2024
End date: February 11, 2025
a = 7.1196
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0366
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -31.23%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0366) – 1
= 15.75%
May 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,011)
= Exp(a + b × X1,011 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,468 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1196 + -0.0010 × 1,468 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.6866)
= $294.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,011)
= Exp(a + b × X1,011 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,468 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1196 + -0.0010 × 1,468 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.5403)
= $254.77
February 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1196 + -0.0010 × 1,749 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.3983)
= $221.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1196 + -0.0010 × 1,749 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.2521)
= $190.96
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.23% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $196.24 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 14, 2025
End date: April 21, 2025
a = 15.7781
b = -0.0059
s = 0.0502
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0059) – 1
= -88.28%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0502) – 1
= 22.25%
February 14, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,752 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.7781 + -0.0059 × 1,752 + 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(5.5891)
= $267.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,206)
= Exp(a + b × X1,206 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,752 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.7781 + -0.0059 × 1,752 – 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(5.3882)
= $218.81
April 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.7781 + -0.0059 × 1,818 + 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(5.2015)
= $181.55
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,818 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.7781 + -0.0059 × 1,818 – 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(5.0006)
= $148.50
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 88.28% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $22.00 (12.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.