Stock Price Trends

Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock (PLTR) 

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a leading provider of data integration and analytics software, primarily serving government and commercial sectors to drive decision-making and operational efficiency. Established to support national security and counterterrorism efforts, Palantir's platforms, such as Palantir Gotham and Palantir Foundry, empower organizations to aggregate, analyze, and visualize vast amounts of data effectively. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, the company is at the forefront of technological innovation, leveraging cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities to address complex challenges across various industries, making it a compelling investment opportunity for institutional investors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 214.76% per annum.
  • PLTR price at the close of March 6, 2026 was $157.16 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.25 (4.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 45.21% per annum.
  • PLTR price at the close of March 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PLTR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: November 7, 2022
End date: January 27, 2026

a = -0.1986

b = 0.0031

s = 0.2130

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0031) – 1
= 214.76%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.2130) – 1
= 134.41%

November 7, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y421)
= Exp(a + b × X421 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 608 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1986 + 0.0031 × 608 + 2 × 0.2130)
= Exp(2.1374)
= $8.48

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y421)
= Exp(a + b × X421 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 608 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1986 + 0.0031 × 608 – 2 × 0.2130)
= Exp(1.2854)
= $3.62

January 27, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,785 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1986 + 0.0031 × 1,785 + 2 × 0.2130)
= Exp(5.8349)
= $342.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,227)
= Exp(a + b × X1,227 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,785 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.1986 + 0.0031 × 1,785 – 2 × 0.2130)
= Exp(4.9830)
= $145.91

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 214.76% per annum.
  • PLTR price at the close of March 6, 2026 was $157.16 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $7.25 (4.41%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 18, 2025
End date: March 6, 2026

a = 7.9978

b = -0.0016

s = 0.0830

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -45.21%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0830) – 1
= 39.38%

September 18, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,138)
= Exp(a + b × X1,138 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,654 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.9978 + -0.0016 × 1,654 + 2 × 0.0830)
= Exp(5.4372)
= $229.79

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,138)
= Exp(a + b × X1,138 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,654 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.9978 + -0.0016 × 1,654 – 2 × 0.0830)
= Exp(5.1052)
= $164.87

March 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.9978 + -0.0016 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0830)
= Exp(5.1586)
= $173.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.9978 + -0.0016 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0830)
= Exp(4.8266)
= $124.78

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 45.21% per annum.
  • PLTR price at the close of March 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.