Stock Price Trends

Liveramp Holdings Inc (RAMP)

LiveRamp Holdings, Inc., a technology company, offers enterprise data connectivity platform solutions in the United States, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 55.82% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of May 9, 2024 was $32.70 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.01 (3.00%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 55.64% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of May 9, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RAMP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 22, 2022
End date: April 11, 2024

a = 1.4655

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0833

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 55.82%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0833) – 1
= 39.55%

August 22, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y827)
= Exp(a + b × X827 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4655 + 0.0012 × 1,200 + 2 × 0.0833)
= Exp(3.0903)
= $21.98

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y827)
= Exp(a + b × X827 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4655 + 0.0012 × 1,200 – 2 × 0.0833)
= Exp(2.7571)
= $15.75

April 11, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4655 + 0.0012 × 1,798 + 2 × 0.0833)
= Exp(3.8170)
= $45.47

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.4655 + 0.0012 × 1,798 – 2 × 0.0833)
= Exp(3.4838)
= $32.58

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 55.82% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of May 9, 2024 was $32.70 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.01 (3.00%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 18, 2024
End date: May 9, 2024

a = 7.5089

b = -0.0022

s = 0.0358

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0022) – 1
= -55.64%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0358) – 1
= 15.39%

January 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,180)
= Exp(a + b × X1,180 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,714 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5089 + -0.0022 × 1,714 + 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.7635)
= $43.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,180)
= Exp(a + b × X1,180 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,714 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5089 + -0.0022 × 1,714 – 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.6204)
= $37.35

May 9, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5089 + -0.0022 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.5141)
= $33.59

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5089 + -0.0022 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(3.3710)
= $29.11

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 55.64% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of May 9, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.