Stock Price Trends

Liveramp Holdings Inc (RAMP)

LiveRamp Holdings, Inc., a technology company, offers enterprise data connectivity platform solutions in the United States, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 53.37% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $30.06 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.17 (17.02%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 36.43% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RAMP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 9, 2022
End date: April 12, 2024

a = 1.6244

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0871

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 53.37%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0871) – 1
= 41.70%

August 9, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y765)
= Exp(a + b × X765 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,110 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6244 + 0.0012 × 1,110 + 2 × 0.0871)
= Exp(3.0993)
= $22.18

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y765)
= Exp(a + b × X765 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,110 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6244 + 0.0012 × 1,110 – 2 × 0.0871)
= Exp(2.7508)
= $15.66

April 12, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,186)
= Exp(a + b × X1,186 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,722 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6244 + 0.0012 × 1,722 + 2 × 0.0871)
= Exp(3.8165)
= $45.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,186)
= Exp(a + b × X1,186 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,722 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6244 + 0.0012 × 1,722 – 2 × 0.0871)
= Exp(3.4679)
= $32.07

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 53.37% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $30.06 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.17 (17.02%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 21, 2023
End date: July 25, 2024

a = 5.6612

b = -0.0012

s = 0.0461

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -36.43%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0461) – 1
= 20.26%

December 21, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,110)
= Exp(a + b × X1,110 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,609 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6612 + -0.0012 × 1,609 + 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(3.7567)
= $42.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,110)
= Exp(a + b × X1,110 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,609 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6612 + -0.0012 × 1,609 – 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(3.5722)
= $35.60

July 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6612 + -0.0012 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(3.4875)
= $32.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.6612 + -0.0012 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0461)
= Exp(3.3030)
= $27.19

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 36.43% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.