Pegasystems Inc (PEGA)
Pegasystems Inc. is a leading software company specializing in business process management and customer relationship management solutions. Headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, Pegasystems offers a range of innovative applications that enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency for enterprises worldwide. With a global presence across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific, the company is well-positioned to address the evolving needs of its clients by leveraging its robust cloud architecture and AI capabilities. Pegasystems continues to drive digital transformation initiatives, empowering organizations to optimize their workflows and deliver superior customer experiences.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 47.85% per annum.
- PEGA price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $54.32 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 91.77% per annum.
- PEGA price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PEGA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 22, 2022
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 2.1043
b = 0.0011
s = 0.1162
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 47.85%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1162) – 1
= 59.15%
August 22, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y435)
= Exp(a + b × X435 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 633 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1043 + 0.0011 × 633 + 2 × 0.1162)
= Exp(3.0148)
= $20.39
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y435)
= Exp(a + b × X435 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 633 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1043 + 0.0011 × 633 – 2 × 0.1162)
= Exp(2.5501)
= $12.81
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1043 + 0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1162)
= Exp(4.2919)
= $73.10
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1043 + 0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1162)
= Exp(3.8272)
= $45.93
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 47.85% per annum.
- PEGA price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $54.32 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 22, 2025
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 16.4524
b = -0.0068
s = 0.0219
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0068) – 1
= -91.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0219) – 1
= 9.15%
October 22, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,790 + 2 × s)
= Exp(16.4524 + -0.0068 × 1,790 + 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(4.2471)
= $69.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,790 – 2 × s)
= Exp(16.4524 + -0.0068 × 1,790 – 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(4.1595)
= $64.04
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(16.4524 + -0.0068 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(4.0076)
= $55.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(16.4524 + -0.0068 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0219)
= Exp(3.9200)
= $50.40
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 91.77% per annum.
- PEGA price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.