Stock Price Trends

DocuSign Inc (DOCU)

DocuSign, Inc. is a leading provider of e-signature technology and digital transaction management solutions, empowering organizations to manage agreements digitally. Headquartered in San Francisco, California, the company's robust cloud-based platform streamlines the signing process and enhances efficiency for businesses of all sizes across various industries. With a commitment to innovation, DocuSign continues to expand its offerings, including advanced features in areas such as workflow automation and compliance, positioning itself as a pivotal player in facilitating secure and efficient online transactions globally.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.26% per annum.
  • DOCU price at the close of January 16, 2026 was $56.71 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.75 (4.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 26.72% per annum.
  • DOCU price at the close of January 16, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.73 (2.96%).
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DOCU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 16, 2022
End date: January 12, 2026

a = 3.5601

b = 0.0005

s = 0.1561

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.26%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1561) – 1
= 86.73%

September 16, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y419)
= Exp(a + b × X419 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 605 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5601 + 0.0005 × 605 + 2 × 0.1561)
= Exp(4.1503)
= $63.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y419)
= Exp(a + b × X419 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 605 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5601 + 0.0005 × 605 – 2 × 0.1561)
= Exp(3.5258)
= $33.98

January 12, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5601 + 0.0005 × 1,819 + 2 × 0.1561)
= Exp(4.7080)
= $110.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,819 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5601 + 0.0005 × 1,819 – 2 × 0.1561)
= Exp(4.0835)
= $59.35

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 18.26% per annum.
  • DOCU price at the close of January 16, 2026 was $56.71 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.75 (4.63%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 6, 2024
End date: January 16, 2026

a = 5.7442

b = -0.0009

s = 0.0619

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -26.72%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0619) – 1
= 28.10%

December 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y978)
= Exp(a + b × X978 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,417 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7442 + -0.0009 × 1,417 + 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(4.6613)
= $105.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y978)
= Exp(a + b × X978 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,417 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7442 + -0.0009 × 1,417 – 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(4.4137)
= $82.58

January 16, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7442 + -0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(4.3156)
= $74.86

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7442 + -0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0619)
= Exp(4.0680)
= $58.44

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 26.72% per annum.
  • DOCU price at the close of January 16, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.73 (2.96%).