Calix Inc (CALX)
Calix Inc. is a leading provider of cloud and software platforms designed to enhance broadband communications for service providers worldwide, including the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and the Caribbean. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Calix focuses on delivering innovative solutions that empower customers to optimize their network performance and operational efficiency, positioning themselves at the forefront of the global connectivity landscape. The company's offerings include a range of services aimed at supporting the evolving needs of broadband networks, driving sustainable growth and improved customer experiences.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.69% per annum.
- CALX price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $54.28 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 32.77% per annum.
- CALX price at the close of March 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CALX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 13, 2024
End date: January 28, 2026
a = 2.2168
b = 0.0010
s = 0.1174
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 46.69%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1174) – 1
= 59.95%
March 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y760)
= Exp(a + b × X760 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,104 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2168 + 0.0010 × 1,104 + 2 × 0.1174)
= Exp(3.6106)
= $36.99
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y760)
= Exp(a + b × X760 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,104 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2168 + 0.0010 × 1,104 – 2 × 0.1174)
= Exp(3.1409)
= $23.12
January 28, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,790 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2168 + 0.0010 × 1,790 + 2 × 0.1174)
= Exp(4.3307)
= $76.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,790 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2168 + 0.0010 × 1,790 – 2 × 0.1174)
= Exp(3.8610)
= $47.51
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 46.69% per annum.
- CALX price at the close of March 4, 2026 was $54.28 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2025
End date: March 4, 2026
a = 5.9246
b = -0.0011
s = 0.0518
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -32.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0518) – 1
= 23.02%
August 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,635 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9246 + -0.0011 × 1,635 + 2 × 0.0518)
= Exp(4.2495)
= $70.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,124)
= Exp(a + b × X1,124 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,635 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9246 + -0.0011 × 1,635 – 2 × 0.0518)
= Exp(4.0423)
= $56.96
March 4, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9246 + -0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0518)
= Exp(4.0428)
= $56.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9246 + -0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0518)
= Exp(3.8356)
= $46.32
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 32.77% per annum.
- CALX price at the close of March 4, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.