PTC Inc (PTC)
PTC Inc. is a leading American provider of software and services, specializing in product development and lifecycle management solutions. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, the company offers a comprehensive suite of software solutions, including CAD, PLM, and IoT, aimed at enhancing product design, manufacturing, and management processes for a diverse range of industries. PTC's innovative technologies, such as its Digital Thread and Digital Twin approaches, empower organizations to drive digital transformation and achieve operational excellence in an increasingly competitive landscape. With a strong commitment to advancing industrial innovation, PTC remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for digital engineering solutions.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 44.80% per annum.
- PTC price at the close of January 28, 2026 was $161.91 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 23.89% per annum.
- PTC price at the close of January 28, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PTC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 31, 2025
End date: January 28, 2026
a = 8.0704
b = -0.0016
s = 0.0336
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0016) – 1
= -44.80%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0336) – 1
= 14.40%
July 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,130)
= Exp(a + b × X1,130 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,644 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.0704 + -0.0016 × 1,644 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(5.4616)
= $235.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,130)
= Exp(a + b × X1,130 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,644 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.0704 + -0.0016 × 1,644 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(5.3271)
= $205.83
January 28, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.0704 + -0.0016 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(5.1670)
= $175.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.0704 + -0.0016 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(5.0324)
= $153.31
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 44.80% per annum.
- PTC price at the close of January 28, 2026 was $161.91 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 6, 2025
End date: January 28, 2026
a = 6.4859
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0213
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -23.89%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0213) – 1
= 8.88%
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4859 + -0.0007 × 1,742 + 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(5.2256)
= $185.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4859 + -0.0007 × 1,742 – 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(5.1406)
= $170.81
January 28, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4859 + -0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(5.1635)
= $174.78
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4859 + -0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(5.0785)
= $160.53
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 23.89% per annum.
- PTC price at the close of January 28, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.