Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE)
Adobe Inc. is a leading American multinational software company headquartered in San Jose, California, renowned for its innovative solutions in digital media and marketing. The company has established itself as a dominant player in content creation and publishing with flagship products such as Adobe Photoshop, Illustrator, and Acrobat, which are integral to professionals in various creative industries. Additionally, Adobe has successfully diversified its offerings into digital marketing management through Adobe Experience Cloud, enabling businesses to enhance their customer engagement strategies. With millions of users globally, Adobe continues to leverage AI and cloud technology to drive growth and maintain its competitive edge in a rapidly evolving digital landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.29% per annum.
- ADBE price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $317.52 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.01% per annum.
- ADBE price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ADBE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 21, 2024
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 7.7906
b = -0.0011
s = 0.0575
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -33.29%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0575) – 1
= 25.87%
June 21, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y895)
= Exp(a + b × X895 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,302 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.7906 + -0.0011 × 1,302 + 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(6.4618)
= $640.21
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y895)
= Exp(a + b × X895 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,302 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.7906 + -0.0011 × 1,302 – 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(6.2317)
= $508.62
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.7906 + -0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(5.8818)
= $358.46
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.7906 + -0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0575)
= Exp(5.6517)
= $284.78
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.29% per annum.
- ADBE price at the close of November 26, 2025 was $317.52 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 13, 2025
End date: November 26, 2025
a = 6.9948
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0513
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -21.01%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0513) – 1
= 22.76%
March 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,076)
= Exp(a + b × X1,076 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,567 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9948 + -0.0006 × 1,567 + 2 × 0.0513)
= Exp(6.0850)
= $439.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,076)
= Exp(a + b × X1,076 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,567 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9948 + -0.0006 × 1,567 – 2 × 0.0513)
= Exp(5.8799)
= $357.78
November 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9948 + -0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0513)
= Exp(5.9183)
= $371.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.9948 + -0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0513)
= Exp(5.7132)
= $302.85
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.01% per annum.
- ADBE price at the close of November 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.