Amazon.com Inc (AMZN)
Amazon.com, Inc. is a leading American multinational technology company renowned for its diverse operations in e-commerce, cloud computing, digital streaming, and artificial intelligence. As one of the Big Five in the U.S. information technology sector, alongside notable peers like Google and Microsoft, Amazon significantly shapes both economic trends and cultural dynamics globally. With its robust Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform and a comprehensive e-commerce ecosystem, the company has established itself as a transformative force and the world's most valuable brand, driving innovation and consumer engagement on an unprecedented scale.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 52.00% per annum.
- AMZN price at the close of November 3, 2025 was $254.00 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $23.89 (8.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 17.20% per annum.
- AMZN price at the close of November 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMZN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 27, 2022
End date: February 21, 2025
a = 3.6746
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0705
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 52.00%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0705) – 1
= 32.56%
October 27, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y498)
= Exp(a + b × X498 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 722 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6746 + 0.0011 × 722 + 2 × 0.0705)
= Exp(4.6437)
= $103.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y498)
= Exp(a + b × X498 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 722 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6746 + 0.0011 × 722 – 2 × 0.0705)
= Exp(4.3619)
= $78.41
February 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,078)
= Exp(a + b × X1,078 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6746 + 0.0011 × 1,570 + 2 × 0.0705)
= Exp(5.6165)
= $274.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,078)
= Exp(a + b × X1,078 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6746 + 0.0011 × 1,570 – 2 × 0.0705)
= Exp(5.3347)
= $207.41
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 52.00% per annum.
- AMZN price at the close of November 3, 2025 was $254.00 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $23.89 (8.60%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 26, 2024
End date: October 31, 2025
a = 4.6401
b = 0.0004
s = 0.0688
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 17.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0688) – 1
= 31.66%
January 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y810)
= Exp(a + b × X810 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,178 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6401 + 0.0004 × 1,178 + 2 × 0.0688)
= Exp(5.2899)
= $198.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y810)
= Exp(a + b × X810 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,178 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6401 + 0.0004 × 1,178 – 2 × 0.0688)
= Exp(5.0149)
= $150.64
October 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6401 + 0.0004 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0688)
= Exp(5.5699)
= $262.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.6401 + 0.0004 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0688)
= Exp(5.2949)
= $199.32
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 17.20% per annum.
- AMZN price at the close of November 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.