Stock Price Trends

Kohl's Corporation (KSS)

Kohl's Corporation (KSS) is a leading retail company based in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin, specializing in a diverse range of merchandise, including clothing, accessories, footwear, and home products. With a robust omnichannel presence, Kohl's operates hundreds of stores across the United States, complemented by a strong e-commerce platform that enhances customer accessibility and experience. The company is committed to delivering value through quality products and exceptional customer service, while also focusing on sustainability initiatives and community engagement to foster long-term growth and shareholder value.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 575.69% per annum.
  • KSS price at the close of November 11, 2025 was $17.98 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 18.68% per annum.
  • KSS price at the close of November 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KSS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: November 11, 2025

a = -6.5867

b = 0.0052

s = 0.0973

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0052) – 1
= 575.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0973) – 1
= 47.58%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,101)
= Exp(a + b × X1,101 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,603 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.5867 + 0.0052 × 1,603 + 2 × 0.0973)
= Exp(1.9987)
= $7.38

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,101)
= Exp(a + b × X1,101 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,603 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.5867 + 0.0052 × 1,603 – 2 × 0.0973)
= Exp(1.6095)
= $5.00

November 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.5867 + 0.0052 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0973)
= Exp(3.1607)
= $23.59

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-6.5867 + 0.0052 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0973)
= Exp(2.7715)
= $15.98

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 575.69% per annum.
  • KSS price at the close of November 11, 2025 was $17.98 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 27, 2025
End date: November 11, 2025

a = 1.9471

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0460

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.68%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0460) – 1
= 20.22%

August 27, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,201)
= Exp(a + b × X1,201 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9471 + 0.0005 × 1,749 + 2 × 0.0460)
= Exp(2.8599)
= $17.46

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,201)
= Exp(a + b × X1,201 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9471 + 0.0005 × 1,749 – 2 × 0.0460)
= Exp(2.6758)
= $14.52

November 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9471 + 0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0460)
= Exp(2.8955)
= $18.09

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9471 + 0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0460)
= Exp(2.7114)
= $15.05

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 18.68% per annum.
  • KSS price at the close of November 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.