Stock Price Trends

eBay Inc (EBAY)

eBay Inc. is a leading American multinational e-commerce platform headquartered in San Jose, California, specializing in consumer-to-consumer and business-to-consumer sales through its online marketplace. Since its inception, eBay has transformed the way individuals and businesses connect and transact globally, offering a diverse range of products and services across various categories. The company emphasizes user experience and security, fostering a vibrant community of buyers and sellers. Its innovative approach to e-commerce, including features like auctions and fixed-price listings, positions eBay as a key player in the rapidly evolving digital retail landscape. With a robust and scalable platform, eBay continues to adapt and grow in response to changing market dynamics and consumer preferences.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

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Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 52.43% per annum.
  • EBAY price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $81.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 107.62% per annum.
  • EBAY price at the close of October 31, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $8.23 (9.19%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EBAY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

October 2, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

October 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 52.43% per annum.
  • EBAY price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $81.31 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date:
End date:

a =

b =

s =

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=

March 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

October 30, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 107.62% per annum.
  • EBAY price at the close of October 31, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $8.23 (9.19%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.