Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
Oracle Corporation is a leading American multinational technology company specializing in database software and cloud computing solutions, headquartered in Austin, Texas. Known for its robust portfolio of database management systems and enterprise software products, Oracle has positioned itself as a critical player in the cloud infrastructure and services market. The company is focused on delivering innovative cloud solutions that empower organizations to drive digital transformation, leveraging advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning. With a strong commitment to research and development, Oracle continues to enhance its offerings, ensuring it meets the evolving needs of global enterprises.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 81.34% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of January 21, 2026 was $173.88 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 0.38% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of January 21, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.07 (1.74%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ORCL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 10, 2025
End date: January 21, 2026
a = 13.5481
b = -0.0046
s = 0.0656
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0046) – 1
= -81.34%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0656) – 1
= 30.00%
September 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,692 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5481 + -0.0046 × 1,692 + 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(5.8975)
= $364.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,692 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5481 + -0.0046 × 1,692 – 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(5.6352)
= $280.10
January 21, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5481 + -0.0046 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(5.2858)
= $197.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5481 + -0.0046 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(5.0235)
= $151.94
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 81.34% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of January 21, 2026 was $173.88 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 11, 2025
End date: January 21, 2026
a = 5.2747
b = 0.0000
s = 0.0398
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -0.38%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0398) – 1
= 17.27%
December 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,228)
= Exp(a + b × X1,228 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2747 + 0.0000 × 1,784 + 2 × 0.0398)
= Exp(5.3356)
= $207.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,228)
= Exp(a + b × X1,228 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,784 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2747 + 0.0000 × 1,784 – 2 × 0.0398)
= Exp(5.1763)
= $177.03
January 21, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2747 + 0.0000 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0398)
= Exp(5.3352)
= $207.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2747 + 0.0000 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0398)
= Exp(5.1759)
= $176.95
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 0.38% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of January 21, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.07 (1.74%).