Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
Oracle Corporation is a leading American multinational technology company specializing in database software and cloud computing solutions, headquartered in Austin, Texas. Known for its robust portfolio of database management systems and enterprise software products, Oracle has positioned itself as a critical player in the cloud infrastructure and services market. The company is focused on delivering innovative cloud solutions that empower organizations to drive digital transformation, leveraging advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning. With a strong commitment to research and development, Oracle continues to enhance its offerings, ensuring it meets the evolving needs of global enterprises.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 732.32% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of October 13, 2025 was $308.01 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $34.43 (10.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 68.86% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of October 13, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $17.51 (6.03%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ORCL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 27, 2025
End date: August 12, 2025
a = -4.6393
b = 0.0058
s = 0.0599
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0058) – 1
= 732.32%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0599) – 1
= 27.07%
March 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,625 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6393 + 0.0058 × 1,625 + 2 × 0.0599)
= Exp(4.9146)
= $136.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,625 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6393 + 0.0058 × 1,625 – 2 × 0.0599)
= Exp(4.6750)
= $107.23
August 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,763 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6393 + 0.0058 × 1,763 + 2 × 0.0599)
= Exp(5.7157)
= $303.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,763 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.6393 + 0.0058 × 1,763 – 2 × 0.0599)
= Exp(5.4761)
= $238.92
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 732.32% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of October 13, 2025 was $308.01 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $34.43 (10.05%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 12, 2025
End date: September 9, 2025
a = 2.9447
b = 0.0014
s = 0.0537
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 68.86%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0537) – 1
= 23.95%
June 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,702 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9447 + 0.0014 × 1,702 + 2 × 0.0537)
= Exp(5.4951)
= $243.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,702 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9447 + 0.0014 × 1,702 – 2 × 0.0537)
= Exp(5.2804)
= $196.44
September 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,791 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9447 + 0.0014 × 1,791 + 2 × 0.0537)
= Exp(5.6228)
= $276.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,791 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9447 + 0.0014 × 1,791 – 2 × 0.0537)
= Exp(5.4081)
= $223.21
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 68.86% per annum.
- ORCL price at the close of October 13, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $17.51 (6.03%).