Netflix Inc (NFLX)
Netflix, Inc. is a leading American over-the-top content platform and production company, headquartered in Los Gatos, California. Established in 1997 by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph, Netflix revolutionized the media landscape with its subscription-based streaming service, providing users access to an extensive library of films and television series, including critically acclaimed original content. As a pioneer in the streaming industry, the company continues to expand globally, leveraging innovative distribution strategies and investment in original programming to enhance viewer engagement and drive subscriber growth. With a commitment to transforming entertainment consumption, Netflix stands at the forefront of the digital media revolution.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 74.83% per annum.
- NFLX price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $97.09 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $44.57 (31.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 64.63% per annum.
- NFLX price at the close of March 2, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $13.40 (16.01%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NFLX price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 20, 2022
End date: October 21, 2025
a = 2.3326
b = 0.0015
s = 0.0861
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 74.83%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0861) – 1
= 41.12%
April 20, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y286)
= Exp(a + b × X286 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 413 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3326 + 0.0015 × 413 + 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(3.1369)
= $23.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y286)
= Exp(a + b × X286 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 413 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3326 + 0.0015 × 413 – 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(2.7924)
= $16.32
October 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,165)
= Exp(a + b × X1,165 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,693 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3326 + 0.0015 × 1,693 + 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(5.0958)
= $163.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,165)
= Exp(a + b × X1,165 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,693 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3326 + 0.0015 × 1,693 – 2 × 0.0861)
= Exp(4.7514)
= $115.75
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 74.83% per annum.
- NFLX price at the close of March 2, 2026 was $97.09 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $44.57 (31.46%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2025
End date: February 25, 2026
a = 9.5477
b = -0.0028
s = 0.0383
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0028) – 1
= -64.63%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0383) – 1
= 16.56%
August 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,126)
= Exp(a + b × X1,126 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,637 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5477 + -0.0028 × 1,637 + 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(4.9625)
= $142.96
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,126)
= Exp(a + b × X1,126 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,637 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5477 + -0.0028 × 1,637 – 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(4.8093)
= $122.65
February 25, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5477 + -0.0028 × 1,820 + 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(4.4414)
= $84.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,251)
= Exp(a + b × X1,251 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,820 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5477 + -0.0028 × 1,820 – 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(4.2882)
= $72.84
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 64.63% per annum.
- NFLX price at the close of March 2, 2026 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $13.40 (16.01%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.