Broadcom Inc (AVGO)
Broadcom Inc. is an American designer, developer, manufacturer and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products. Broadcom's product offerings serve the data center, networking, software, broadband, wireless, and storage and industrial markets.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.64% per annum.
- AVGO price at the close of July 10, 2025 was $275.40 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 704.08% per annum.
- AVGO price at the close of July 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AVGO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2022
End date: February 26, 2025
a = 2.3093
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0785
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 96.64%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0785) – 1
= 36.88%
August 26, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y536)
= Exp(a + b × X536 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 774 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3093 + 0.0019 × 774 + 2 × 0.0785)
= Exp(3.9002)
= $49.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y536)
= Exp(a + b × X536 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 774 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3093 + 0.0019 × 774 – 2 × 0.0785)
= Exp(3.5863)
= $36.10
February 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3093 + 0.0019 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0785)
= Exp(5.5953)
= $269.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.3093 + 0.0019 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0785)
= Exp(5.2814)
= $196.65
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.64% per annum.
- AVGO price at the close of July 10, 2025 was $275.40 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 27, 2025
End date: July 10, 2025
a = -4.7312
b = 0.0057
s = 0.0523
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0057) – 1
= 704.08%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0523) – 1
= 23.28%
March 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,183)
= Exp(a + b × X1,183 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,718 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.7312 + 0.0057 × 1,718 + 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(5.1850)
= $178.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,183)
= Exp(a + b × X1,183 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,718 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.7312 + 0.0057 × 1,718 – 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(4.9757)
= $144.86
July 10, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.7312 + 0.0057 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(5.7847)
= $325.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-4.7312 + 0.0057 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0523)
= Exp(5.5754)
= $263.85
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 704.08% per annum.
- AVGO price at the close of July 10, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.