Stock Price Trends

Broadcom Inc (AVGO) 

Broadcom Inc. is a leading American technology company specializing in the design, development, and manufacture of a diverse array of semiconductor and infrastructure software products. With a robust portfolio catering to essential sectors such as data center, networking, broadband, wireless, and storage, Broadcom has positioned itself as a key player in the global semiconductor market. The company's innovative solutions drive advancements in connectivity and data processing, making it an integral component in the technology infrastructure of enterprises worldwide. As it continues to expand through strategic acquisitions and investment in research and development, Broadcom remains well-positioned to capitalize on trends in 5G, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT).

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.80% per annum.
  • AVGO price at the close of October 16, 2025 was $354.15 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 351.79% per annum.
  • AVGO price at the close of October 16, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AVGO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 26, 2022
End date: February 24, 2025

a = 2.4869

b = 0.0019

s = 0.0784

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 96.80%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0784) – 1
= 36.81%

August 26, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y467)
= Exp(a + b × X467 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 676 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4869 + 0.0019 × 676 + 2 × 0.0784)
= Exp(3.8975)
= $49.28

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y467)
= Exp(a + b × X467 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 676 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4869 + 0.0019 × 676 – 2 × 0.0784)
= Exp(3.5841)
= $36.02

February 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,589 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4869 + 0.0019 × 1,589 + 2 × 0.0784)
= Exp(5.5910)
= $268.01

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,589 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4869 + 0.0019 × 1,589 – 2 × 0.0784)
= Exp(5.2776)
= $195.90

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 96.80% per annum.
  • AVGO price at the close of October 16, 2025 was $354.15 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 25, 2025
End date: September 24, 2025

a = -1.5418

b = 0.0041

s = 0.0638

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0041) – 1
= 351.79%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0638) – 1
= 29.08%

March 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,112)
= Exp(a + b × X1,112 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,618 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.5418 + 0.0041 × 1,618 + 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(5.2708)
= $194.57

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,112)
= Exp(a + b × X1,112 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,618 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.5418 + 0.0041 × 1,618 – 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(5.0156)
= $150.74

September 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.5418 + 0.0041 × 1,801 + 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(6.0269)
= $414.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.5418 + 0.0041 × 1,801 – 2 × 0.0638)
= Exp(5.7717)
= $321.07

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 351.79% per annum.
  • AVGO price at the close of October 16, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.