Stock Price Trends

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI)

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of high-performance analog semiconductor solutions, specializing in applications across the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave, and light wave spectrums. The company serves a diverse range of markets, including wireless communications, data centers, and industrial applications, with a strong presence in the United States, China, and the Asia Pacific region. Headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts, MACOM's innovative products and strategic focus position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced connectivity solutions in an increasingly data-driven world.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 41.69% per annum.
  • MTSI price at the close of October 20, 2025 was $140.33 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 19.69% per annum.
  • MTSI price at the close of October 20, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MTSI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 6, 2022
End date: February 24, 2025

a = 3.3528

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0858

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 41.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0858) – 1
= 40.95%

April 6, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y367)
= Exp(a + b × X367 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 532 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3528 + 0.0010 × 532 + 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(4.0324)
= $56.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y367)
= Exp(a + b × X367 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 532 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3528 + 0.0010 × 532 – 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(3.6892)
= $40.01

February 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,587 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3528 + 0.0010 × 1,587 + 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(5.0397)
= $154.42

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,587 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3528 + 0.0010 × 1,587 – 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(4.6964)
= $109.56

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 41.69% per annum.
  • MTSI price at the close of October 20, 2025 was $140.33 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 20, 2024
End date: October 20, 2025

a = 4.0006

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0977

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 19.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0977) – 1
= 47.80%

March 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0006 + 0.0005 × 1,246 + 2 × 0.0977)
= Exp(4.8096)
= $122.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0006 + 0.0005 × 1,246 – 2 × 0.0977)
= Exp(4.4189)
= $83.00

October 20, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0006 + 0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0977)
= Exp(5.0947)
= $163.16

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0006 + 0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0977)
= Exp(4.7040)
= $110.39

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 19.69% per annum.
  • MTSI price at the close of October 20, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.