Semtech Corporation (SMTC)
Semtech Corporation is a leading provider of high-performance mixed-signal and analog semiconductor solutions, specializing in innovative technologies for a wide range of applications, including the Internet of Things (IoT), data centers, and telecommunications. Headquartered in Camarillo, California, Semtech leverages advanced algorithms and proprietary designs to deliver robust connectivity solutions that enhance operational efficiency and drive digital transformation. With a strong focus on sustainability and smart technologies, Semtech is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging market trends and continue its growth trajectory in the semiconductor industry.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 201.71% per annum.
- SMTC price at the close of February 27, 2026 was $90.22 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 111.04% per annum.
- SMTC price at the close of February 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SMTC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 1, 2025
End date: February 27, 2026
a = -0.9709
b = 0.0030
s = 0.0707
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0030) – 1
= 201.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0707) – 1
= 32.70%
May 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,047)
= Exp(a + b × X1,047 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,521 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9709 + 0.0030 × 1,521 + 2 × 0.0707)
= Exp(3.7723)
= $43.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,047)
= Exp(a + b × X1,047 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,521 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9709 + 0.0030 × 1,521 – 2 × 0.0707)
= Exp(3.4893)
= $32.76
February 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9709 + 0.0030 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0707)
= Exp(4.6859)
= $108.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.9709 + 0.0030 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0707)
= Exp(4.4030)
= $81.70
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 201.71% per annum.
- SMTC price at the close of February 27, 2026 was $90.22 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2025
End date: February 27, 2026
a = 0.7377
b = 0.0020
s = 0.0487
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0020) – 1
= 111.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0487) – 1
= 21.49%
August 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,127)
= Exp(a + b × X1,127 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,638 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7377 + 0.0020 × 1,638 + 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(4.1868)
= $65.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,127)
= Exp(a + b × X1,127 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,638 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7377 + 0.0020 × 1,638 – 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(3.9922)
= $54.18
February 27, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7377 + 0.0020 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(4.5654)
= $96.10
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7377 + 0.0020 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(4.3708)
= $79.11
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 111.04% per annum.
- SMTC price at the close of February 27, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.