Skyworks Solutions Inc (SWKS)
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. is a leading American semiconductor company based in Irvine, California, specializing in the design and manufacture of advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductors primarily for Radio Frequency (RF) and mobile communication applications. The company leverages its expertise in RF technology to provide innovative solutions that enhance wireless connectivity and performance across a diverse range of devices, including smartphones, IoT devices, and automotive systems. As a key player in the semiconductor industry, Skyworks is poised to capitalize on the growing demand for wireless connectivity driven by the proliferation of 5G technology and smart devices, making it an attractive investment opportunity for institutional investors.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 2.45% per annum.
- SWKS price at the close of February 2, 2026 was $56.83 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $27.74 (32.80%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 15.29% per annum.
- SWKS price at the close of February 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SWKS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 6, 2022
End date: October 29, 2024
a = 4.4873
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0853
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.45%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0853) – 1
= 40.69%
April 6, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y296)
= Exp(a + b × X296 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 427 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4873 + 0.0001 × 427 + 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(4.6863)
= $108.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y296)
= Exp(a + b × X296 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 427 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4873 + 0.0001 × 427 – 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(4.3449)
= $77.08
October 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,364 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4873 + 0.0001 × 1,364 + 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(4.7484)
= $115.40
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,364 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4873 + 0.0001 × 1,364 – 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(4.4070)
= $82.02
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 2.45% per annum.
- SWKS price at the close of February 2, 2026 was $56.83 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $27.74 (32.80%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 23, 2023
End date: February 2, 2026
a = 5.0206
b = -0.0005
s = 0.1089
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -15.29%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1089) – 1
= 54.62%
January 23, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y495)
= Exp(a + b × X495 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 719 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0206 + -0.0005 × 719 + 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(4.9116)
= $135.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y495)
= Exp(a + b × X495 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 719 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0206 + -0.0005 × 719 – 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(4.4758)
= $87.87
February 2, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0206 + -0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(4.4088)
= $82.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0206 + -0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(3.9730)
= $53.15
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 15.29% per annum.
- SWKS price at the close of February 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.