Stock Price Trends

Skyworks Solutions Inc (SWKS)

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. is a leading American semiconductor company based in Irvine, California, specializing in the design and manufacture of advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductors primarily for Radio Frequency (RF) and mobile communication applications. The company leverages its expertise in RF technology to provide innovative solutions that enhance wireless connectivity and performance across a diverse range of devices, including smartphones, IoT devices, and automotive systems. As a key player in the semiconductor industry, Skyworks is poised to capitalize on the growing demand for wireless connectivity driven by the proliferation of 5G technology and smart devices, making it an attractive investment opportunity for institutional investors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 39.37% per annum.
  • SWKS price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $75.32 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 76.82% per annum.
  • SWKS price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SWKS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 6, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025

a = 2.6922

b = 0.0009

s = 0.0682

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 39.37%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0682) – 1
= 31.38%

February 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6922 + 0.0009 × 1,570 + 2 × 0.0682)
= Exp(4.2566)
= $70.57

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,079)
= Exp(a + b × X1,079 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,570 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6922 + 0.0009 × 1,570 – 2 × 0.0682)
= Exp(3.9837)
= $53.71

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6922 + 0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0682)
= Exp(4.4867)
= $88.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.6922 + 0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0682)
= Exp(4.2138)
= $67.61

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 39.37% per annum.
  • SWKS price at the close of October 17, 2025 was $75.32 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 19, 2025
End date: October 17, 2025

a = 11.5853

b = -0.0040

s = 0.0249

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0040) – 1
= -76.82%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0249) – 1
= 10.48%

September 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,234)
= Exp(a + b × X1,234 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,795 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5853 + -0.0040 × 1,795 + 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(4.4462)
= $85.30

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,234)
= Exp(a + b × X1,234 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,795 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5853 + -0.0040 × 1,795 – 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(4.3465)
= $77.21

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5853 + -0.0040 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(4.3340)
= $76.25

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.5853 + -0.0040 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0249)
= Exp(4.2343)
= $69.02

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 76.82% per annum.
  • SWKS price at the close of October 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.