Coinbase Global Inc (COIN)
Coinbase Global, Inc. is a leading cryptocurrency exchange and financial services provider that facilitates the buying, selling, and trading of various digital assets. Headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware, the company plays a pivotal role in the emerging crypto economy by offering robust infrastructure and technology solutions that enable seamless transactions for retail and institutional clients alike. As a publicly traded company, Coinbase is at the forefront of digital asset innovation, providing a trusted platform that empowers users to manage their cryptocurrency portfolios effectively while promoting greater adoption of blockchain technology.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 84.85% per annum.
- COIN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was $162.03 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $98.41 (37.79%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 86.94% per annum.
- COIN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of COIN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 11, 2022
End date: November 14, 2025
a = 3.1479
b = 0.0017
s = 0.2883
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 84.85%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.2883) – 1
= 216.80%
May 11, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y272)
= Exp(a + b × X272 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 392 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1479 + 0.0017 × 392 + 2 × 0.2883)
= Exp(4.3842)
= $80.18
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y272)
= Exp(a + b × X272 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 392 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1479 + 0.0017 × 392 – 2 × 0.2883)
= Exp(3.2311)
= $25.31
November 14, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,154)
= Exp(a + b × X1,154 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,675 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1479 + 0.0017 × 1,675 + 2 × 0.2883)
= Exp(6.5438)
= $694.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,154)
= Exp(a + b × X1,154 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,675 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1479 + 0.0017 × 1,675 – 2 × 0.2883)
= Exp(5.3907)
= $219.36
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 84.85% per annum.
- COIN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was $162.03 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $98.41 (37.79%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 30, 2025
End date: February 24, 2026
a = 15.0355
b = -0.0056
s = 0.0839
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0056) – 1
= -86.94%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0839) – 1
= 39.89%
September 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,121)
= Exp(a + b × X1,121 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,630 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0355 + -0.0056 × 1,630 + 2 × 0.0839)
= Exp(6.1135)
= $451.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,121)
= Exp(a + b × X1,121 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,630 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0355 + -0.0056 × 1,630 – 2 × 0.0839)
= Exp(5.7778)
= $323.06
February 24, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,777 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0355 + -0.0056 × 1,777 + 2 × 0.0839)
= Exp(5.2938)
= $199.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,777 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.0355 + -0.0056 × 1,777 – 2 × 0.0839)
= Exp(4.9581)
= $142.32
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 86.94% per annum.
- COIN price at the close of February 24, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.