Moodys Corporation (MCO)
Moody's Corporation (MCO) is a leading global provider of credit ratings, research, risk analysis, and financial information, holding a significant position in the financial services sector. The company operates through two primary segments: Moody's Investors Service, which delivers credit ratings and research for various debt instruments and issuers, and Moody's Analytics, which offers a suite of software solutions and data to support financial management and decision-making. With its robust analytical capabilities and deep market insights, Moody's is positioned to serve a diverse clientele, including governments, corporations, and financial institutions worldwide, making it a key player in the evolving landscape of financial services and risk management.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.75% per annum.
- MCO price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $486.60 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $48.50 (9.06%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.80% per annum.
- MCO price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MCO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 1, 2022
End date: March 6, 2025
a = 5.1442
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0620
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 28.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0620) – 1
= 28.14%
June 1, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y367)
= Exp(a + b × X367 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 533 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1442 + 0.0007 × 533 + 2 × 0.0620)
= Exp(5.6372)
= $280.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y367)
= Exp(a + b × X367 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 533 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1442 + 0.0007 × 533 – 2 × 0.0620)
= Exp(5.3893)
= $219.05
March 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,059)
= Exp(a + b × X1,059 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1442 + 0.0007 × 1,542 + 2 × 0.0620)
= Exp(6.3358)
= $564.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,059)
= Exp(a + b × X1,059 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,542 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1442 + 0.0007 × 1,542 – 2 × 0.0620)
= Exp(6.0879)
= $440.50
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 28.75% per annum.
- MCO price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $486.60 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $48.50 (9.06%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 11, 2024
End date: December 12, 2025
a = 5.9654
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0435
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.80%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0435) – 1
= 19.02%
July 11, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y896)
= Exp(a + b × X896 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,304 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9654 + 0.0001 × 1,304 + 2 × 0.0435)
= Exp(6.2200)
= $502.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y896)
= Exp(a + b × X896 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,304 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9654 + 0.0001 × 1,304 – 2 × 0.0435)
= Exp(6.0458)
= $422.35
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9654 + 0.0001 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0435)
= Exp(6.2867)
= $537.36
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9654 + 0.0001 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0435)
= Exp(6.1125)
= $451.47
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.80% per annum.
- MCO price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.