Stock Price Trends

ZoomInfo Technologies Inc (ZI)

ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. operates a cloud-based go-to-market intelligence platform for sales and marketing teams globally. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 48.95% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of May 7, 2024 was $16.02 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.11 (0.67%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 5.50% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of May 7, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ZI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 20, 2021
End date: February 12, 2024

a = 5.1312

b = -0.0018

s = 0.1380

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0018) – 1
= -48.95%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1380) – 1
= 73.69%

August 20, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y306)
= Exp(a + b × X306 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 442 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1312 + -0.0018 × 442 + 2 × 0.1380)
= Exp(4.5929)
= $98.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y306)
= Exp(a + b × X306 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 442 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1312 + -0.0018 × 442 – 2 × 0.1380)
= Exp(4.0408)
= $56.87

February 12, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y928)
= Exp(a + b × X928 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,348 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1312 + -0.0018 × 1,348 + 2 × 0.1380)
= Exp(2.9238)
= $18.61

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y928)
= Exp(a + b × X928 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,348 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.1312 + -0.0018 × 1,348 – 2 × 0.1380)
= Exp(2.3717)
= $10.72

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 48.95% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of May 7, 2024 was $16.02 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.11 (0.67%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 13, 2023
End date: May 7, 2024

a = 2.5758

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0867

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 5.50%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0867) – 1
= 41.45%

September 13, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y824)
= Exp(a + b × X824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,196 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5758 + 0.0001 × 1,196 + 2 × 0.0867)
= Exp(2.9247)
= $18.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y824)
= Exp(a + b × X824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,196 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5758 + 0.0001 × 1,196 – 2 × 0.0867)
= Exp(2.5779)
= $13.17

May 7, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y987)
= Exp(a + b × X987 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,433 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5758 + 0.0001 × 1,433 + 2 × 0.0867)
= Exp(2.9595)
= $19.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y987)
= Exp(a + b × X987 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,433 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5758 + 0.0001 × 1,433 – 2 × 0.0867)
= Exp(2.6127)
= $13.64

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 5.50% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of May 7, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.