Yelp Inc (YELP)
Yelp Inc. operates a platform that connects consumers with local businesses in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.80% per annum.
- YELP price at the close of May 6, 2024 was $40.48 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.61 (14.03%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.82% per annum.
- YELP price at the close of May 6, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of YELP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 4, 2022
End date: February 12, 2024
a = 1.6237
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0739
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 60.80%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0739) – 1
= 34.40%
November 4, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y883)
= Exp(a + b × X883 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,277 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6237 + 0.0013 × 1,277 + 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.4333)
= $30.98
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y883)
= Exp(a + b × X883 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,277 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6237 + 0.0013 × 1,277 – 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.1376)
= $23.05
February 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6237 + 0.0013 × 1,742 + 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(4.0384)
= $56.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6237 + 0.0013 × 1,742 – 2 × 0.0739)
= Exp(3.7427)
= $42.21
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.80% per annum.
- YELP price at the close of May 6, 2024 was $40.48 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.61 (14.03%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 17, 2023
End date: May 6, 2024
a = 4.2739
b = -0.0003
s = 0.0569
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -10.82%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0569) – 1
= 25.58%
July 17, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,055)
= Exp(a + b × X1,055 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,532 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2739 + -0.0003 × 1,532 + 2 × 0.0569)
= Exp(3.9070)
= $49.75
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,055)
= Exp(a + b × X1,055 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,532 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2739 + -0.0003 × 1,532 – 2 × 0.0569)
= Exp(3.6792)
= $39.62
May 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2739 + -0.0003 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0569)
= Exp(3.8148)
= $45.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,258)
= Exp(a + b × X1,258 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2739 + -0.0003 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0569)
= Exp(3.5870)
= $36.12
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.82% per annum.
- YELP price at the close of May 6, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.