Stock Price Trends

QuinStreet Inc (QNST)

QuinStreet Inc. is a leading online performance marketing firm specializing in client acquisition services across various sectors, including financial services, education, and home services. Headquartered in Foster City, California, the company leverages advanced technology and data-driven strategies to optimize customer engagement and deliver measurable results for its clients both in the United States and globally. With a strong focus on performance metrics, QuinStreet is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for digital marketing solutions in an increasingly competitive marketplace.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.67% per annum.
  • QNST price at the close of February 18, 2026 was $11.39 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 22.25% per annum.
  • QNST price at the close of February 18, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.41 (3.46%).

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of QNST price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: October 30, 2024
End date: February 18, 2026

a = 4.7420

b = -0.0012

s = 0.0866

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -35.67%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0866) – 1
= 41.40%

October 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y930)
= Exp(a + b × X930 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,349 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7420 + -0.0012 × 1,349 + 2 × 0.0866)
= Exp(3.2847)
= $26.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y930)
= Exp(a + b × X930 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,349 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7420 + -0.0012 × 1,349 – 2 × 0.0866)
= Exp(2.9383)
= $18.88

February 18, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7420 + -0.0012 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0866)
= Exp(2.7094)
= $15.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7420 + -0.0012 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0866)
= Exp(2.3630)
= $10.62

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.67% per annum.
  • QNST price at the close of February 18, 2026 was $11.39 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: February 18, 2026

a = 3.8596

b = -0.0007

s = 0.0666

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -22.25%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0666) – 1
= 30.53%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,035)
= Exp(a + b × X1,035 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,504 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8596 + -0.0007 × 1,504 + 2 × 0.0666)
= Exp(2.9557)
= $19.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,035)
= Exp(a + b × X1,035 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,504 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8596 + -0.0007 × 1,504 – 2 × 0.0666)
= Exp(2.6893)
= $14.72

February 18, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8596 + -0.0007 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0666)
= Exp(2.7344)
= $15.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8596 + -0.0007 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0666)
= Exp(2.4679)
= $11.80

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 22.25% per annum.
  • QNST price at the close of February 18, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.41 (3.46%).