ExlService Holdings Inc (EXLS)
ExlService Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of operations management and analytical services, specializing in delivering data-driven solutions that enhance operational efficiency and drive business performance for clients across various industries. Headquartered in New York, the company leverages advanced technologies and deep industry expertise to support a diverse global clientele, including Fortune 500 companies. With a robust focus on digital transformation and analytics, ExlService is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the evolving business landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.15% per annum.
- EXLS price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $41.21 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 61.75% per annum.
- EXLS price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EXLS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 16, 2025
End date: October 24, 2025
a = 4.8501
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0334
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.15%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0334) – 1
= 14.28%
January 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,061)
= Exp(a + b × X1,061 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,543 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8501 + -0.0006 × 1,543 + 2 × 0.0334)
= Exp(3.9658)
= $52.76
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,061)
= Exp(a + b × X1,061 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,543 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8501 + -0.0006 × 1,543 – 2 × 0.0334)
= Exp(3.8323)
= $46.17
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8501 + -0.0006 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0334)
= Exp(3.7926)
= $44.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8501 + -0.0006 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0334)
= Exp(3.6591)
= $38.83
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 20.15% per annum.
- EXLS price at the close of October 24, 2025 was $41.21 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 22, 2025
End date: October 24, 2025
a = 8.5020
b = -0.0026
s = 0.0169
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0026) – 1
= -61.75%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0169) – 1
= 6.99%
September 22, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5020 + -0.0026 × 1,792 + 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.8172)
= $45.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,792 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5020 + -0.0026 × 1,792 – 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.7497)
= $42.51
October 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5020 + -0.0026 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.7330)
= $41.80
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.5020 + -0.0026 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0169)
= Exp(3.6654)
= $39.07
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 61.75% per annum.
- EXLS price at the close of October 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.