Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc (BR)
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc. (BR) is a leading provider of technology-driven solutions for the financial services industry, specializing in investor communications and securities processing. Founded in 2007 as a spin-off from Automatic Data Processing, the company has established itself as a critical player in facilitating essential processes such as proxy voting, shareholder communications, and regulatory compliance for public companies. With a strong focus on innovation and efficiency, Broadridge is positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for digital transformation in financial services, making it an attractive investment for institutional stakeholders seeking growth in the evolving financial landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.34% per annum.
- BR price at the close of December 1, 2025 was $226.55 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $25.28 (10.04%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 51.11% per annum.
- BR price at the close of December 1, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $9.83 (4.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 27, 2022
End date: September 15, 2025
a = 4.4587
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0495
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.34%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0495) – 1
= 21.90%
September 27, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y457)
= Exp(a + b × X457 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 664 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4587 + 0.0006 × 664 + 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(4.9830)
= $145.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y457)
= Exp(a + b × X457 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 664 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4587 + 0.0006 × 664 – 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(4.7850)
= $119.70
September 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,748 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4587 + 0.0006 × 1,748 + 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(5.6774)
= $292.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,748 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.4587 + 0.0006 × 1,748 – 2 × 0.0495)
= Exp(5.4794)
= $239.71
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.34% per annum.
- BR price at the close of December 1, 2025 was $226.55 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $25.28 (10.04%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 5, 2025
End date: November 12, 2025
a = 8.9310
b = -0.0020
s = 0.0127
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0020) – 1
= -51.11%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0127) – 1
= 5.21%
August 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,172)
= Exp(a + b × X1,172 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9310 + -0.0020 × 1,707 + 2 × 0.0127)
= Exp(5.6099)
= $273.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,172)
= Exp(a + b × X1,172 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9310 + -0.0020 × 1,707 – 2 × 0.0127)
= Exp(5.5591)
= $259.59
November 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9310 + -0.0020 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0127)
= Exp(5.4159)
= $224.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.9310 + -0.0020 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0127)
= Exp(5.3650)
= $213.80
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 51.11% per annum.
- BR price at the close of December 1, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $9.83 (4.54%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.