Albertsons Companies (ACI)
Albertsons Companies, Inc. participates in the pharmacy and food operation in the United States.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 2.33% per annum.
- ACI price at the close of July 14, 2025 was $22.13 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.11 (0.50%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 38.57% per annum.
- ACI price at the close of July 14, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.19 (0.86%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ACI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 10, 2021
End date: March 27, 2025
a = 3.0783
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0657
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -2.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0657) – 1
= 30.08%
August 10, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y270)
= Exp(a + b × X270 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 391 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0783 + -0.0001 × 391 + 2 × 0.0657)
= Exp(3.1846)
= $24.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y270)
= Exp(a + b × X270 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 391 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0783 + -0.0001 × 391 – 2 × 0.0657)
= Exp(2.9216)
= $18.57
March 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0783 + -0.0001 × 1,716 + 2 × 0.0657)
= Exp(3.0990)
= $22.18
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,716 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0783 + -0.0001 × 1,716 – 2 × 0.0657)
= Exp(2.8360)
= $17.05
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 2.33% per annum.
- ACI price at the close of July 14, 2025 was $22.13 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.11 (0.50%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 6, 2024
End date: June 2, 2025
a = 1.5175
b = 0.0009
s = 0.0216
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 38.57%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0216) – 1
= 9.01%
September 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,043)
= Exp(a + b × X1,043 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,514 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5175 + 0.0009 × 1,514 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(2.9139)
= $18.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,043)
= Exp(a + b × X1,043 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,514 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5175 + 0.0009 × 1,514 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(2.8276)
= $16.91
June 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,783 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5175 + 0.0009 × 1,783 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.1543)
= $23.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,226)
= Exp(a + b × X1,226 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,783 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5175 + 0.0009 × 1,783 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(3.0681)
= $21.50
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 38.57% per annum.
- ACI price at the close of July 14, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.19 (0.86%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.