Sprouts Farmers Market LLC (SFM)
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on providing fresh, natural, and organic food products across the United States. With its headquarters in Phoenix, Arizona, the company operates a growing network of stores that emphasize health-conscious living and sustainability. Sprouts is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing consumer demand for organic and clean-label products, showcasing its commitment to high-quality offerings while maintaining competitive pricing. The company's unique curb appeal and farmer's market-inspired shopping experience attract a diverse customer base, making it a noteworthy player in the rapidly evolving grocery sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 84.18% per annum.
- SFM price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $79.54 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 47.41% per annum.
- SFM price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SFM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 20, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025
a = 13.5621
b = -0.0051
s = 0.0751
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0051) – 1
= -84.18%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0751) – 1
= 35.06%
June 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,133)
= Exp(a + b × X1,133 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,649 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5621 + -0.0051 × 1,649 + 2 × 0.0751)
= Exp(5.3829)
= $217.66
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,133)
= Exp(a + b × X1,133 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,649 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5621 + -0.0051 × 1,649 – 2 × 0.0751)
= Exp(5.0824)
= $161.15
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5621 + -0.0051 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0751)
= Exp(4.4990)
= $89.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(13.5621 + -0.0051 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0751)
= Exp(4.1984)
= $66.58
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 84.18% per annum.
- SFM price at the close of December 12, 2025 was $79.54 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 30, 2025
End date: December 12, 2025
a = 2.4853
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0270
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 47.41%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0270) – 1
= 11.39%
October 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4853 + 0.0011 × 1,781 + 2 × 0.0270)
= Exp(4.4327)
= $84.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,225)
= Exp(a + b × X1,225 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,781 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4853 + 0.0011 × 1,781 – 2 × 0.0270)
= Exp(4.3248)
= $75.55
December 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4853 + 0.0011 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0270)
= Exp(4.4784)
= $88.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4853 + 0.0011 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0270)
= Exp(4.3705)
= $79.08
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 47.41% per annum.
- SFM price at the close of December 12, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.