Stock Price Trends

Rexford Industrial Realty Inc (REXR)

Rexford Industrial Realty Inc. (REXR) is a prominent real estate investment trust that strategically invests in industrial properties predominantly located in the high-demand infill markets of Southern California. With a robust portfolio of 232 properties encompassing approximately 27 million square feet, the company capitalizes on the region's logistical advantages, driven by strong e-commerce growth and population density. Rexford is dedicated to enhancing its properties through active management and development initiatives, positioning itself as a leader in the industrial real estate sector while delivering long-term, sustainable value to its investors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 66.57% per annum.
  • REXR price at the close of February 6, 2026 was $38.97 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.73 (14.73%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.29% per annum.
  • REXR price at the close of February 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of REXR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: November 12, 2025

a = 1.3338

b = 0.0014

s = 0.0308

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 66.57%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0308) – 1
= 13.11%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,043)
= Exp(a + b × X1,043 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,515 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3338 + 0.0014 × 1,515 + 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(3.5133)
= $33.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,043)
= Exp(a + b × X1,043 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,515 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3338 + 0.0014 × 1,515 – 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(3.3901)
= $29.67

November 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,738 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3338 + 0.0014 × 1,738 + 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(3.8251)
= $45.84

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,197)
= Exp(a + b × X1,197 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,738 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3338 + 0.0014 × 1,738 – 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(3.7019)
= $40.52

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 66.57% per annum.
  • REXR price at the close of February 6, 2026 was $38.97 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $6.73 (14.73%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 4, 2025
End date: February 6, 2026

a = 4.3335

b = -0.0004

s = 0.0201

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -12.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0201) – 1
= 8.36%

September 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,148)
= Exp(a + b × X1,148 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,669 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3335 + -0.0004 × 1,669 + 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.7739)
= $43.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,148)
= Exp(a + b × X1,148 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,669 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3335 + -0.0004 × 1,669 – 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.6936)
= $40.19

February 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3335 + -0.0004 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.7182)
= $41.19

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3335 + -0.0004 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0201)
= Exp(3.6379)
= $38.01

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 12.29% per annum.
  • REXR price at the close of February 6, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.