Rexford Industrial Realty Inc (REXR)
Rexford Industrial, a real estate investment trust that focuses on owning and operating industrial properties in the infill markets of Southern California, owns 232 properties with approximately 27.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.15% per annum.
- REXR price at the close of August 25, 2025 was $40.10 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.33% per annum.
- REXR price at the close of August 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of REXR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: October 28, 2021
End date: August 21, 2025
a = 4.3522
b = -0.0004
s = 0.0804
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.15%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0804) – 1
= 37.91%
October 28, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y296)
= Exp(a + b × X296 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 428 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3522 + -0.0004 × 428 + 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(4.3340)
= $76.25
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y296)
= Exp(a + b × X296 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 428 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3522 + -0.0004 × 428 – 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(4.0126)
= $55.29
August 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3522 + -0.0004 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(3.7517)
= $42.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3522 + -0.0004 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0804)
= Exp(3.4303)
= $30.89
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.15% per annum.
- REXR price at the close of August 25, 2025 was $40.10 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2025
End date: August 25, 2025
a = 1.3292
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0224
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 59.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0224) – 1
= 9.35%
April 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,685 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3292 + 0.0013 × 1,685 + 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(3.5242)
= $33.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,685 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3292 + 0.0013 × 1,685 – 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(3.4347)
= $31.02
August 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3292 + 0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(3.7028)
= $40.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.3292 + 0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0224)
= Exp(3.6134)
= $37.09
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.33% per annum.
- REXR price at the close of August 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.