Stock Price Trends

Gaming & Leisure Properties (GLPI)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 7.24% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $47.76 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 18.03% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GLPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 15, 2021
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 3.5349

b = 0.0002

s = 0.0531

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 7.24%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0531) – 1
= 23.68%

April 15, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y242)
= Exp(a + b × X242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 351 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5349 + 0.0002 × 351 + 2 × 0.0531)
= Exp(3.7085)
= $40.79

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y242)
= Exp(a + b × X242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 351 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5349 + 0.0002 × 351 – 2 × 0.0531)
= Exp(3.4959)
= $32.98

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5349 + 0.0002 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0531)
= Exp(3.9908)
= $54.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5349 + 0.0002 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0531)
= Exp(3.7782)
= $43.74

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 7.24% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $47.76 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 24, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 3.1041

b = 0.0005

s = 0.0429

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 18.03%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0429) – 1
= 18.72%

January 24, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,365 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1041 + 0.0005 × 1,365 + 2 × 0.0429)
= Exp(3.8098)
= $45.14

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y940)
= Exp(a + b × X940 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,365 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1041 + 0.0005 × 1,365 – 2 × 0.0429)
= Exp(3.6383)
= $38.03

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1041 + 0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0429)
= Exp(4.0188)
= $55.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1041 + 0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0429)
= Exp(3.8472)
= $46.86

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 18.03% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.