Stock Price Trends

Gaming & Leisure Properties (GLPI)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 4.18% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of January 28, 2026 was $44.78 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.25% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of January 28, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GLPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 23, 2024
End date: January 28, 2026

a = 3.9996

b = -0.0001

s = 0.0260

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -4.18%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0260) – 1
= 10.97%

August 23, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y897)
= Exp(a + b × X897 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,302 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9996 + -0.0001 × 1,302 + 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(3.8994)
= $49.37

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y897)
= Exp(a + b × X897 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,302 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9996 + -0.0001 × 1,302 – 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(3.7953)
= $44.49

January 28, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9996 + -0.0001 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(3.8382)
= $46.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9996 + -0.0001 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0260)
= Exp(3.7341)
= $41.85

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 4.18% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of January 28, 2026 was $44.78 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 19, 2025
End date: January 28, 2026

a = 1.5027

b = 0.0013

s = 0.0178

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 59.25%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0178) – 1
= 7.37%

November 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,755 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5027 + 0.0013 × 1,755 + 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(3.7754)
= $43.61

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,208)
= Exp(a + b × X1,208 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,755 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5027 + 0.0013 × 1,755 – 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(3.7043)
= $40.62

January 28, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5027 + 0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(3.8646)
= $47.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5027 + 0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(3.7935)
= $44.41

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.25% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of January 28, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.