Stock Price Trends

Gaming & Leisure Properties (GLPI)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 3.23% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $47.58 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.74 (3.80%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.89% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GLPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 26, 2024
End date: February 6, 2026

a = 3.9353

b = -0.0001

s = 0.0269

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -3.23%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0269) – 1
= 11.35%

July 26, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y847)
= Exp(a + b × X847 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,229 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9353 + -0.0001 × 1,229 + 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(3.8786)
= $48.36

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y847)
= Exp(a + b × X847 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,229 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9353 + -0.0001 × 1,229 – 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(3.7711)
= $43.43

February 6, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,789 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9353 + -0.0001 × 1,789 + 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(3.8282)
= $45.98

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,231)
= Exp(a + b × X1,231 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,789 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9353 + -0.0001 × 1,789 – 2 × 0.0269)
= Exp(3.7208)
= $41.30

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 3.23% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $47.58 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $1.74 (3.80%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 18, 2025
End date: March 13, 2026

a = 1.5233

b = 0.0013

s = 0.0193

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 59.89%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0193) – 1
= 8.02%

November 18, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,709 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5233 + 0.0013 × 1,709 + 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(3.7592)
= $42.92

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,177)
= Exp(a + b × X1,177 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,709 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5233 + 0.0013 × 1,709 – 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(3.6821)
= $39.73

March 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5233 + 0.0013 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(3.9071)
= $49.75

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5233 + 0.0013 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0193)
= Exp(3.8300)
= $46.06

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 59.89% per annum.
  • GLPI price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.