Four Corners Property Trust Inc (FCPT)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 21.47% per annum.
- FCPT price at the close of November 21, 2025 was $24.01 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 7.31% per annum.
- FCPT price at the close of November 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FCPT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 15, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025
a = 4.3767
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0149
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -21.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0149) – 1
= 6.16%
April 15, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,604 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3767 + -0.0007 × 1,604 + 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.3447)
= $28.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,102)
= Exp(a + b × X1,102 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,604 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3767 + -0.0007 × 1,604 – 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.2849)
= $26.71
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3767 + -0.0007 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.1990)
= $24.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3767 + -0.0007 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.1393)
= $23.09
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 21.47% per annum.
- FCPT price at the close of November 21, 2025 was $24.01 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 22, 2025
End date: November 21, 2025
a = 3.5560
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0125
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -7.31%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0125) – 1
= 5.12%
September 22, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5560 + -0.0002 × 1,764 + 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.2142)
= $24.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,764 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5560 + -0.0002 × 1,764 – 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.1643)
= $23.67
November 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5560 + -0.0002 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.2017)
= $24.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5560 + -0.0002 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0125)
= Exp(3.1518)
= $23.38
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 7.31% per annum.
- FCPT price at the close of November 21, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.