Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is a leading provider of educational services, specializing in the management and operation of private educational institutions, particularly for higher education. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, the company partners with nonprofit universities to enhance academic and operational effectiveness, offering a range of services including marketing, enrollment management, and online education solutions. With a focus on innovative learning methodologies and a commitment to student success, Grand Canyon Education is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for quality higher education and online learning services in the U.S. market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 39.14% per annum.
- LOPE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $162.45 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.71% per annum.
- LOPE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LOPE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 7, 2025
End date: March 20, 2026
a = 7.5252
b = -0.0014
s = 0.0772
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -39.14%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0772) – 1
= 36.18%
August 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,099)
= Exp(a + b × X1,099 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,598 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5252 + -0.0014 × 1,598 + 2 × 0.0772)
= Exp(5.5056)
= $246.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,099)
= Exp(a + b × X1,099 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,598 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5252 + -0.0014 × 1,598 – 2 × 0.0772)
= Exp(5.1968)
= $180.70
March 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5252 + -0.0014 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0772)
= Exp(5.1995)
= $181.19
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5252 + -0.0014 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0772)
= Exp(4.8908)
= $133.05
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 39.14% per annum.
- LOPE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was $162.45 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 6, 2025
End date: March 20, 2026
a = 4.8853
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0431
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 4.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0431) – 1
= 18.84%
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8853 + 0.0001 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0431)
= Exp(5.1846)
= $178.50
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,163)
= Exp(a + b × X1,163 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8853 + 0.0001 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0431)
= Exp(5.0120)
= $150.20
March 20, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8853 + 0.0001 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0431)
= Exp(5.2015)
= $181.54
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8853 + 0.0001 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0431)
= Exp(5.0289)
= $152.76
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4.71% per annum.
- LOPE price at the close of March 20, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.