Stock Price Trends

Adtalem Global Education Inc (ATGE)

Adtalem Global Education Inc. (ATGE) is a prominent provider of educational services, specializing in workforce development and career-oriented programs across various sectors. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, the company offers a diverse portfolio of institutions that cater to the evolving needs of students and employers alike, with a focus on healthcare, business, and technology education. Through its commitment to fostering inclusive learning environments and career readiness, Adtalem is positioned to play a vital role in shaping the future workforce globally.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 72.30% per annum.
  • ATGE price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $141.04 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 92.83% per annum.
  • ATGE price at the close of October 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ATGE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 8, 2023
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 2.2426

b = 0.0015

s = 0.0971

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 72.30%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0971) – 1
= 47.44%

March 8, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y590)
= Exp(a + b × X590 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 859 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2426 + 0.0015 × 859 + 2 × 0.0971)
= Exp(3.7172)
= $41.15

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y590)
= Exp(a + b × X590 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 859 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2426 + 0.0015 × 859 – 2 × 0.0971)
= Exp(3.3290)
= $27.91

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2426 + 0.0015 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0971)
= Exp(5.1572)
= $173.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2426 + 0.0015 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0971)
= Exp(4.7690)
= $117.80

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 72.30% per annum.
  • ATGE price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $141.04 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 30, 2024
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 1.7556

b = 0.0018

s = 0.0765

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 92.83%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0765) – 1
= 35.81%

January 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y815)
= Exp(a + b × X815 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7556 + 0.0018 × 1,187 + 2 × 0.0765)
= Exp(4.0441)
= $57.06

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y815)
= Exp(a + b × X815 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7556 + 0.0018 × 1,187 – 2 × 0.0765)
= Exp(3.7380)
= $42.01

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7556 + 0.0018 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0765)
= Exp(5.1919)
= $179.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7556 + 0.0018 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0765)
= Exp(4.8858)
= $132.39

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 92.83% per annum.
  • ATGE price at the close of October 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.