Stock Price Trends

Stride Inc (LRN)

Stride, Inc., a technology-based education company, provides its own and third-party online educational services, software systems and curricula to facilitate individualized learning for students primarily in kindergarten through grade 12 (K -12) in the United States and internationally. .

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 95.78% per annum.
  • LRN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $140.86 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 150.11% per annum.
  • LRN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LRN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 24, 2023
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 1.5293

b = 0.0018

s = 0.0915

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0018) – 1
= 95.78%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0915) – 1
= 44.17%

May 24, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y773)
= Exp(a + b × X773 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,120 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5293 + 0.0018 × 1,120 + 2 × 0.0915)
= Exp(3.7737)
= $43.54

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y773)
= Exp(a + b × X773 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,120 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5293 + 0.0018 × 1,120 – 2 × 0.0915)
= Exp(3.4079)
= $30.20

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5293 + 0.0018 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0915)
= Exp(5.0714)
= $159.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5293 + 0.0018 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0915)
= Exp(4.7055)
= $110.56

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 95.78% per annum.
  • LRN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $140.86 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 7, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 0.3995

b = 0.0025

s = 0.0844

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0025) – 1
= 150.11%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0844) – 1
= 40.16%

June 7, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,034)
= Exp(a + b × X1,034 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,500 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3995 + 0.0025 × 1,500 + 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(4.3357)
= $76.38

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,034)
= Exp(a + b × X1,034 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,500 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3995 + 0.0025 × 1,500 – 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(3.9981)
= $54.50

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3995 + 0.0025 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(5.1520)
= $172.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3995 + 0.0025 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(4.8144)
= $123.27

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 150.11% per annum.
  • LRN price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.