Barnes Group Inc (B)
Barnes Group Inc. provides engineering products, industrial technologies, and solutions in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Bristol, Connecticut.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 86.61% per annum.
- B price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $42.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 52.76% per annum.
- B price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of B price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 14, 2023
End date: July 25, 2024
a = 0.6456
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0514
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 86.61%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0514) – 1
= 22.83%
November 14, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,084)
= Exp(a + b × X1,084 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,572 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6456 + 0.0017 × 1,572 + 2 × 0.0514)
= Exp(3.4352)
= $31.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,084)
= Exp(a + b × X1,084 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,572 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6456 + 0.0017 × 1,572 – 2 × 0.0514)
= Exp(3.2295)
= $25.27
July 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6456 + 0.0017 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0514)
= Exp(3.8693)
= $47.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.6456 + 0.0017 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0514)
= Exp(3.6636)
= $39.00
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 86.61% per annum.
- B price at the close of July 25, 2024 was $42.11 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 30, 2024
End date: July 25, 2024
a = 1.6072
b = 0.0012
s = 0.0383
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 52.76%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0383) – 1
= 16.54%
January 30, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,135)
= Exp(a + b × X1,135 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,649 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6072 + 0.0012 × 1,649 + 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(3.5978)
= $36.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,135)
= Exp(a + b × X1,135 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,649 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6072 + 0.0012 × 1,649 – 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(3.4447)
= $31.33
July 25, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6072 + 0.0012 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(3.8032)
= $44.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6072 + 0.0012 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(3.6502)
= $38.48
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 52.76% per annum.
- B price at the close of July 25, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.