Albany International Corporation (AIN)
Albany International Corporation is a global leader in advanced textile and composite technologies, headquartered in Rochester, New Hampshire. The company operates primarily through two segments: Engineered Composites and Machine Clothing, serving a diverse array of industries including aerospace, transportation, and papermaking. With a strong emphasis on innovation and sustainable practices, Albany International is well-positioned to capitalize on growing market opportunities and deliver long-term value to its shareholders. The firm's commitment to research and development underlines its strategy for maintaining a competitive edge in the evolving global marketplace.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 22.38% per annum.
- AIN price at the close of November 19, 2025 was $42.15 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.91 (19.04%).
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.79% per annum.
- AIN price at the close of November 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AIN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 13, 2023
End date: November 6, 2025
a = 5.3505
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0656
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -22.38%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0656) – 1
= 30.00%
December 13, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y769)
= Exp(a + b × X769 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,118 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3505 + -0.0007 × 1,118 + 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(4.7056)
= $110.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y769)
= Exp(a + b × X769 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,118 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3505 + -0.0007 × 1,118 – 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(4.4432)
= $85.05
November 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3505 + -0.0007 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(4.2238)
= $68.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3505 + -0.0007 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.0656)
= Exp(3.9615)
= $52.53
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 22.38% per annum.
- AIN price at the close of November 19, 2025 was $42.15 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $9.91 (19.04%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 27, 2025
End date: November 19, 2025
a = 34.4660
b = -0.0168
s = 0.0296
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0168) – 1
= -99.79%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0296) – 1
= 12.55%
October 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 + 2 × s)
= Exp(34.4660 + -0.0168 × 1,802 + 2 × 0.0296)
= Exp(4.1670)
= $64.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,802 – 2 × s)
= Exp(34.4660 + -0.0168 × 1,802 – 2 × 0.0296)
= Exp(4.0488)
= $57.33
November 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(34.4660 + -0.0168 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0296)
= Exp(3.7795)
= $43.80
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(34.4660 + -0.0168 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0296)
= Exp(3.6613)
= $38.91
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 99.79% per annum.
- AIN price at the close of November 19, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.