Stock Price Trends

ESCO Technologies Inc (ESE)

ESCO Technologies Inc. is a leading provider of highly engineered solutions for the industrial, commercial, and utility markets, specializing in testing and measurement, communications, and utility infrastructure. Headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, the company leverages its advanced technology and innovative product offerings to enhance efficiency and reliability across multiple sectors. With a strong commitment to customer service and a global presence, ESCO is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the evolving industrial landscape.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.91% per annum.
  • ESE price at the close of March 17, 2026 was $267.81 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 440.06% per annum.
  • ESE price at the close of March 17, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ESE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 9, 2024
End date: March 17, 2026

a = 3.1582

b = 0.0013

s = 0.0607

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 60.91%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0607) – 1
= 27.46%

February 9, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y729)
= Exp(a + b × X729 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,058 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1582 + 0.0013 × 1,058 + 2 × 0.0607)
= Exp(4.6583)
= $105.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y729)
= Exp(a + b × X729 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,058 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1582 + 0.0013 × 1,058 – 2 × 0.0607)
= Exp(4.4156)
= $82.73

March 17, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1582 + 0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0607)
= Exp(5.6578)
= $286.53

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1582 + 0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0607)
= Exp(5.4152)
= $224.80

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.91% per annum.
  • ESE price at the close of March 17, 2026 was $267.81 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 16, 2025
End date: March 17, 2026

a = -2.7560

b = 0.0046

s = 0.0479

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0046) – 1
= 440.06%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0479) – 1
= 21.13%

December 16, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,193)
= Exp(a + b × X1,193 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,734 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.7560 + 0.0046 × 1,734 + 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(5.3519)
= $211.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,193)
= Exp(a + b × X1,193 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,734 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.7560 + 0.0046 × 1,734 – 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(5.1603)
= $174.21

March 17, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.7560 + 0.0046 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(5.7724)
= $321.31

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.7560 + 0.0046 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0479)
= Exp(5.5807)
= $265.27

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 440.06% per annum.
  • ESE price at the close of March 17, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.