ESCO Technologies Inc (ESE)
ESCO Technologies Inc. is a leading provider of highly engineered solutions for the industrial, commercial, and utility markets, specializing in testing and measurement, communications, and utility infrastructure. Headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, the company leverages its advanced technology and innovative product offerings to enhance efficiency and reliability across multiple sectors. With a strong commitment to customer service and a global presence, ESCO is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the evolving industrial landscape.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 62.47% per annum.
- ESE price at the close of December 1, 2025 was $204.97 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 31.88% per annum.
- ESE price at the close of December 1, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.76 (0.85%).
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ESE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 9, 2024
End date: November 28, 2025
a = 2.9846
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0509
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 62.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0509) – 1
= 22.60%
February 9, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,164 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9846 + 0.0013 × 1,164 + 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(4.6342)
= $102.94
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,164 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9846 + 0.0013 × 1,164 – 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(4.4304)
= $83.96
November 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9846 + 0.0013 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(5.5090)
= $246.91
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9846 + 0.0013 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0509)
= Exp(5.3052)
= $201.39
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 62.47% per annum.
- ESE price at the close of December 1, 2025 was $204.97 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 23, 2025
End date: December 1, 2025
a = 7.2815
b = -0.0011
s = 0.0154
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -31.88%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0154) – 1
= 6.35%
October 23, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,228)
= Exp(a + b × X1,228 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,786 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2815 + -0.0011 × 1,786 + 2 × 0.0154)
= Exp(5.4340)
= $229.06
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,228)
= Exp(a + b × X1,228 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,786 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2815 + -0.0011 × 1,786 – 2 × 0.0154)
= Exp(5.3724)
= $215.39
December 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2815 + -0.0011 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0154)
= Exp(5.3930)
= $219.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2815 + -0.0011 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0154)
= Exp(5.3314)
= $206.73
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 31.88% per annum.
- ESE price at the close of December 1, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.76 (0.85%).