Mattel Inc (MAT)
Mattel, Inc., a children's entertainment company, designs and produces toys and consumer products worldwide. The company is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 4.16% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of July 3, 2025 was $20.42 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 281.33% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of July 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MAT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 26, 2021
End date: June 26, 2025
a = 3.1067
b = -0.0001
s = 0.0892
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -4.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0892) – 1
= 42.86%
February 26, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y163)
= Exp(a + b × X163 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 235 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1067 + -0.0001 × 235 + 2 × 0.0892)
= Exp(3.2578)
= $25.99
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y163)
= Exp(a + b × X163 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 235 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1067 + -0.0001 × 235 – 2 × 0.0892)
= Exp(2.9010)
= $18.19
June 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1067 + -0.0001 × 1,816 + 2 × 0.0892)
= Exp(3.0739)
= $21.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,250)
= Exp(a + b × X1,250 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,816 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1067 + -0.0001 × 1,816 – 2 × 0.0892)
= Exp(2.7172)
= $15.14
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 4.16% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of July 3, 2025 was $20.42 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2025
End date: July 3, 2025
a = -3.6456
b = 0.0037
s = 0.0589
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0037) – 1
= 281.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0589) – 1
= 26.57%
April 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.6456 + 0.0037 × 1,736 + 2 × 0.0589)
= Exp(2.8383)
= $17.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.6456 + 0.0037 × 1,736 – 2 × 0.0589)
= Exp(2.6027)
= $13.50
July 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.6456 + 0.0037 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0589)
= Exp(3.1573)
= $23.51
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.6456 + 0.0037 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0589)
= Exp(2.9217)
= $18.57
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 281.33% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of July 3, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.