Mattel Inc (MAT)
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) is a leading global toy and entertainment company renowned for its iconic brands, including Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price. Headquartered in El Segundo, California, Mattel designs and manufactures a diverse portfolio of products that engage children and families around the world. With a strategic focus on innovative play experiences and expanding its digital presence, Mattel is positioned to capitalize on trends in the ever-evolving children’s entertainment market. The company's commitment to sustainability and social responsibility further underscores its dedication to delivering quality products while addressing environmental challenges.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
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Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 54.48% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of February 11, 2026 was $15.80 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.16 (20.83%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 13.61% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of February 11, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $4.19 (20.95%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MAT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
July 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
February 10, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 54.48% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of February 11, 2026 was $15.80 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $4.16 (20.83%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date:
End date:
a =
b =
s =
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × ) – 1
=
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × ) – 1
=
November 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
February 10, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × + 2 × s)
= Exp( + × + 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y)
= Exp(a + b × X – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × – 2 × s)
= Exp( + × – 2 × )
= Exp()
= $
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 13.61% per annum.
- MAT price at the close of February 11, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $4.19 (20.95%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.