Stock Price Trends

Acushnet Holdings Corp (GOLF)

Acushnet Holdings Corp. The company is headquartered in Fairhaven, Massachusetts.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.19% per annum.
  • GOLF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $63.56 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 116.25% per annum.
  • GOLF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GOLF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: November 21, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 6.2898

b = -0.0012

s = 0.0374

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0012) – 1
= -35.19%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0374) – 1
= 16.14%

November 21, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,667 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2898 + -0.0012 × 1,667 + 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(4.3840)
= $80.16

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,667 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2898 + -0.0012 × 1,667 – 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(4.2343)
= $69.02

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2898 + -0.0012 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(4.1962)
= $66.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2898 + -0.0012 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0374)
= Exp(4.0466)
= $57.20

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 35.19% per annum.
  • GOLF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $63.56 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: April 28, 2025

a = 0.2776

b = 0.0021

s = 0.0251

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0021) – 1
= 116.25%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0251) – 1
= 10.54%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.2776 + 0.0021 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(4.1312)
= $62.26

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,239)
= Exp(a + b × X1,239 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.2776 + 0.0021 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(4.0310)
= $56.32

April 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.2776 + 0.0021 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(4.1841)
= $65.63

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.2776 + 0.0021 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0251)
= Exp(4.0838)
= $59.37

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 116.25% per annum.
  • GOLF price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.