Sturm Ruger & Company Inc (RGR)
Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) is a leading American firearms manufacturer, renowned for its extensive portfolio of innovative and high-quality firearms, including rifles, shotguns, and handguns, marketed under the prestigious Ruger brand. Established in 1949 and headquartered in Southport, Connecticut, the company emphasizes a commitment to safety, reliability, and customer satisfaction, catering to both individual consumers and law enforcement agencies. With a strong focus on manufacturing efficiency and strategic product development, Ruger is well-positioned to navigate the dynamic landscape of the firearms industry while maintaining robust financial performance.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 132.46% per annum.
- RGR price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $38.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.58% per annum.
- RGR price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RGR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 11, 2025
End date: March 13, 2026
a = -0.5238
b = 0.0023
s = 0.0389
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0023) – 1
= 132.46%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0389) – 1
= 16.86%
November 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,701 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5238 + 0.0023 × 1,701 + 2 × 0.0389)
= Exp(3.4854)
= $32.63
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,701 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5238 + 0.0023 × 1,701 – 2 × 0.0389)
= Exp(3.3296)
= $27.93
March 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5238 + 0.0023 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0389)
= Exp(3.7673)
= $43.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5238 + 0.0023 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0389)
= Exp(3.6115)
= $37.02
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 132.46% per annum.
- RGR price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $38.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 9, 2026
End date: March 13, 2026
a = 3.0924
b = 0.0003
s = 0.0149
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 11.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0149) – 1
= 6.15%
January 9, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,760 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0924 + 0.0003 × 1,760 + 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.6505)
= $38.49
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,760 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0924 + 0.0003 × 1,760 – 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.5908)
= $36.26
March 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0924 + 0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.6694)
= $39.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0924 + 0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0149)
= Exp(3.6097)
= $36.96
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 11.58% per annum.
- RGR price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.