Stock Price Trends

Thor Industries Inc (THO)

Thor Industries, Inc. is a leading manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs) and associated parts and accessories, with a strong market presence in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Headquartered in Elkhart, Indiana, Thor leverages its extensive experience and innovation to offer a diverse range of RV products that cater to various consumer segments. With a focus on quality and customer satisfaction, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for outdoor recreational activities, making it an attractive investment opportunity in the evolving leisure market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 99.63% per annum.
  • THO price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $82.34 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 98.47% per annum.
  • THO price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of THO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 17, 2026
End date: March 13, 2026

a = 32.3756

b = -0.0153

s = 0.0243

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0153) – 1
= -99.63%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0243) – 1
= 10.21%

February 17, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 + 2 × s)
= Exp(32.3756 + -0.0153 × 1,800 + 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(4.8033)
= $121.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,237)
= Exp(a + b × X1,237 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,800 – 2 × s)
= Exp(32.3756 + -0.0153 × 1,800 – 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(4.7061)
= $110.62

March 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(32.3756 + -0.0153 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(4.4350)
= $84.35

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(32.3756 + -0.0153 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(4.3378)
= $76.54

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 99.63% per annum.
  • THO price at the close of March 13, 2026 was $82.34 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 26, 2026
End date: March 13, 2026

a = 25.3027

b = -0.0115

s = 0.0146

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0115) – 1
= -98.47%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0146) – 1
= 6.02%

February 26, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 + 2 × s)
= Exp(25.3027 + -0.0115 × 1,809 + 2 × 0.0146)
= Exp(4.6066)
= $100.15

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,809 – 2 × s)
= Exp(25.3027 + -0.0115 × 1,809 – 2 × 0.0146)
= Exp(4.5482)
= $94.46

March 13, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(25.3027 + -0.0115 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0146)
= Exp(4.4348)
= $84.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(25.3027 + -0.0115 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0146)
= Exp(4.3763)
= $79.54

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 98.47% per annum.
  • THO price at the close of March 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.