Thor Industries Inc (THO)
Thor Industries, Inc. is a leading manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs) and associated parts and accessories, with a strong market presence in the United States, Canada, and Europe. Headquartered in Elkhart, Indiana, Thor leverages its extensive experience and innovation to offer a diverse range of RV products that cater to various consumer segments. With a focus on quality and customer satisfaction, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for outdoor recreational activities, making it an attractive investment opportunity in the evolving leisure market.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 183.45% per annum.
- THO price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $104.35 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $12.20 (10.47%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 27.47% per annum.
- THO price at the close of October 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of THO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 28, 2025
End date: September 16, 2025
a = -0.3682
b = 0.0029
s = 0.0400
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0029) – 1
= 183.45%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0400) – 1
= 17.35%
March 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,105)
= Exp(a + b × X1,105 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,607 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3682 + 0.0029 × 1,607 + 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(4.2989)
= $73.62
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,105)
= Exp(a + b × X1,105 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,607 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3682 + 0.0029 × 1,607 – 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(4.1389)
= $62.73
September 16, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,222)
= Exp(a + b × X1,222 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3682 + 0.0029 × 1,779 + 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(4.7899)
= $120.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,222)
= Exp(a + b × X1,222 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,779 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3682 + 0.0029 × 1,779 – 2 × 0.0400)
= Exp(4.6299)
= $102.50
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 183.45% per annum.
- THO price at the close of October 31, 2025 was $104.35 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $12.20 (10.47%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 13, 2025
End date: October 20, 2025
a = 6.2279
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0234
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -27.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0234) – 1
= 9.81%
August 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,745 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2279 + -0.0009 × 1,745 + 2 × 0.0234)
= Exp(4.7392)
= $114.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,199)
= Exp(a + b × X1,199 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,745 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2279 + -0.0009 × 1,745 – 2 × 0.0234)
= Exp(4.6456)
= $104.13
October 20, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2279 + -0.0009 × 1,813 + 2 × 0.0234)
= Exp(4.6794)
= $107.71
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.2279 + -0.0009 × 1,813 – 2 × 0.0234)
= Exp(4.5858)
= $98.08
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 27.47% per annum.
- THO price at the close of October 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.