Stock Price Trends

Douglas Emmett Inc (DEI)

Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) is a prominent Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership and operation of high-quality multifamily and office properties, primarily situated in prime coastal markets such as Los Angeles and Honolulu. As a fully integrated and self-managed entity, DEI combines extensive market expertise with a diversified portfolio, positioning itself as a leader in the competitive real estate landscape. The company's strategic focus on desirable submarkets allows it to capitalize on demand for premium urban living and office spaces, providing potential for steady income and growth for institutional investors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.59% per annum.
  • DEI price at the close of February 10, 2026 was $10.61 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.73 (20.45%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 28.52% per annum.
  • DEI price at the close of February 10, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DEI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: December 5, 2022
End date: October 9, 2025

a = 2.1450

b = 0.0004

s = 0.1176

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0004) – 1
= 14.59%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1176) – 1
= 60.04%

December 5, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y457)
= Exp(a + b × X457 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 662 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1450 + 0.0004 × 662 + 2 × 0.1176)
= Exp(2.6270)
= $13.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y457)
= Exp(a + b × X457 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 662 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1450 + 0.0004 × 662 – 2 × 0.1176)
= Exp(2.1568)
= $8.64

October 9, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,701 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1450 + 0.0004 × 1,701 + 2 × 0.1176)
= Exp(3.0146)
= $20.38

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,701 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1450 + 0.0004 × 1,701 – 2 × 0.1176)
= Exp(2.5444)
= $12.74

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 14.59% per annum.
  • DEI price at the close of February 10, 2026 was $10.61 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $2.73 (20.45%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 30, 2024
End date: February 10, 2026

a = 4.1224

b = -0.0009

s = 0.0817

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -28.52%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0817) – 1
= 38.68%

September 30, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y913)
= Exp(a + b × X913 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,327 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1224 + -0.0009 × 1,327 + 2 × 0.0817)
= Exp(3.0652)
= $21.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y913)
= Exp(a + b × X913 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,327 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1224 + -0.0009 × 1,327 – 2 × 0.0817)
= Exp(2.7382)
= $15.46

February 10, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1224 + -0.0009 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0817)
= Exp(2.6070)
= $13.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1224 + -0.0009 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0817)
= Exp(2.2801)
= $9.78

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 28.52% per annum.
  • DEI price at the close of February 10, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.