Douglas Emmett Inc (DEI)
Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) is a fully integrated, self-managed and self-managed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) and one of the largest owners and operators of high-quality multifamily and office properties located in major coastal submarkets. from Los Angeles and Honolulu.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.22% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of July 10, 2025 was $16.06 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.15% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of July 10, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.05 (6.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DEI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 7, 2023
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 1.6205
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0858
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 30.22%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0858) – 1
= 40.95%
March 7, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y667)
= Exp(a + b × X667 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 967 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6205 + 0.0007 × 967 + 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(2.4916)
= $12.08
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y667)
= Exp(a + b × X667 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 967 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6205 + 0.0007 × 967 – 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(2.1484)
= $8.57
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6205 + 0.0007 × 1,724 + 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(3.0392)
= $20.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,187)
= Exp(a + b × X1,187 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6205 + 0.0007 × 1,724 – 2 × 0.0858)
= Exp(2.6960)
= $14.82
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.22% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of July 10, 2025 was $16.06 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 14, 2024
End date: June 25, 2025
a = 4.9231
b = -0.0013
s = 0.0529
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.15%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0529) – 1
= 23.55%
October 14, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,071)
= Exp(a + b × X1,071 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,554 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9231 + -0.0013 × 1,554 + 2 × 0.0529)
= Exp(3.0512)
= $21.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,071)
= Exp(a + b × X1,071 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,554 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9231 + -0.0013 × 1,554 – 2 × 0.0529)
= Exp(2.8397)
= $17.11
June 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9231 + -0.0013 × 1,808 + 2 × 0.0529)
= Exp(2.7280)
= $15.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,244)
= Exp(a + b × X1,244 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9231 + -0.0013 × 1,808 – 2 × 0.0529)
= Exp(2.5165)
= $12.39
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.15% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of July 10, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $1.05 (6.98%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.