Douglas Emmett Inc (DEI)
Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) is a fully integrated, self-managed and self-managed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) and one of the largest owners and operators of high-quality multifamily and office properties located in major coastal submarkets. from Los Angeles and Honolulu.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.47% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $14.21 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.12 (7.32%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 52.58% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DEI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 9, 2023
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 1.5705
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0853
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 30.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0853) – 1
= 40.64%
March 9, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y720)
= Exp(a + b × X720 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,044 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5705 + 0.0007 × 1,044 + 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(2.5018)
= $12.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y720)
= Exp(a + b × X720 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,044 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5705 + 0.0007 × 1,044 – 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(2.1608)
= $8.68
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5705 + 0.0007 × 1,799 + 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(3.0520)
= $21.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,238)
= Exp(a + b × X1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,799 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5705 + 0.0007 × 1,799 – 2 × 0.0853)
= Exp(2.7110)
= $15.04
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 30.47% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was $14.21 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $1.12 (7.32%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 21, 2024
End date: April 28, 2025
a = 6.3883
b = -0.0020
s = 0.0444
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0020) – 1
= -52.58%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0444) – 1
= 19.42%
November 21, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,667 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3883 + -0.0020 × 1,667 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(3.0690)
= $21.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,667 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3883 + -0.0020 × 1,667 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.8916)
= $18.02
April 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3883 + -0.0020 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.7460)
= $15.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.3883 + -0.0020 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0444)
= Exp(2.5686)
= $13.05
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 52.58% per annum.
- DEI price at the close of April 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.